Wednesday Sports Picks & Tasty Trends Based on Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Wednesday, March 25, 2015 5:35 PM UTC

Wednesday, Mar. 25, 2015 5:35 PM UTC

It is the middle of the week and for those putting together sports picks, the professional basketball encounters have caught the fancy of those that are interested in placing wagers & moved the lines. 

For Wednesday, we have three NBA picks with altered numbers and one from the college tournaments to peruse. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (449-401 L159D)


Brooklyn Nets vs. Charlotte Hornets 7:05 ET  YES, SPSO
With the Nets playing almost no defense in their past five games, the total for NBA odds has shot straight up four points to 197.5. In Brooklyn’s last five outings, they have allowed a hard to comprehend 114.2 points a game. Those adjusting the sportsbooks total are convinced the lack of defense by the Nets will even improve Charlotte’s impoverished offense which has averaged a scurry-like 88.8 PPG. Having center Al Jefferson listed as ‘probable’ should add to the Hornets offense and these Eastern Conference foes are 5-0-2 OVER in previous seven meetings. I just wonder if Brooklyn will be too tuckered out to score, since they are 15-5 UNDER when playing six or more times in 10 days. 

NBA Pick – Lean Under


Indiana Pacers vs. Washington Wizards 7:05 ET  FS-IN, CSN-DC
Indiana has lost six straight (1-6 ATS in last seven), mostly be not guarding the opposition and surrendering 106.8 PPG. On the other end the spectrum is Washington, who has flown home from a West Coast trip, having forgotten to originally pack the luggage marked –Offense – when they left D.C. and tallied a mere 87.2 PPG on the trip. Those overlooking the betting odds are of the opinion the Wizards shooting will be more of an issue compared to the Pacers defense and lowered the total from 193 to 190. Frankly, you can make a case either way, but we will lean towards the higher score with Washington 11-2 OVER at home after scoring 90 points or less in two straight games since 2013.

NBA Pick – Lean Over


Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Memphis Grizzlies 8:05 ET  FS-OH, SPSO
In this battle of first place, the wagering public is siding with the home team. This was not how the day started as visiting Cleveland was a two- point choice and they have been turned around to +1. Both clubs are sizzling like Memphis barbeque, with the Cavs 7-1 (5-3) and the Grizzlies 5-1 (4-2 ATS). Since Feb. of 2009, the home team has dominated this series with a 9-1 SU record (5-5 ATS), which included a Cavaliers 105-91 home spanking four days before Christmas. While Memphis is the people’s NBA pick, as a basketball handicapper, cannot ignore since LeBron James second game back after sabbatical, Cleveland amazing 13-1 and 12-2 ATS against the West. 

NBA Pick – Cleveland covers


Vermont vs. Monroe 8:00 ET
For this CBI Tournament semi-final NCAA Basketball pick, not many folks are that familiar with Vermont, but annually they are among the best teams in the American East Conference. UL-Monroe is not big name in basketball circles either, but they finished third in the Sun Belt this season. Vermont is thought to be the better team and this was shown by the Catamounts being only a one-point opening road underdog on NCAA Basketball odds. However, once bettors began to participate, Vermont was flipped to a one-point favorite. Both teams are strong defensively, however, Vermont is the better shooting squad and they have made over 51.9 percent in two tourney contests. I’m going to slightly fade the away club, knowing UL-Monroe is 8-2 ATS when the line is +3 to -3 this season. 

NCAA Basketball Pick – Lean UL-Monroe


Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

Denver is 0-11 ATS when playing with two days rest this season. 

Sacramento is 10-0 OVER after scoring 105 points or more in two straight games this season. 

NCAA Basketball ATS Trend
Eastern Kentucky is 2-13 ATS at home after playing a game as favorite the last two seasons. 

NHL Money Line Trend
Colorado is 8-0 against teams who concede 29.5 or more shots on goal in the second half of this season.

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