Wednesday's WNBA Picks for Shock vs. Stars

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, May 28, 2014 1:18 PM GMT

Wednesday, May. 28, 2014 1:18 PM GMT

The Shock are still searching for their first win of the new WNBA season. Will it come tonight in San Antonio against the Stars? Check out why we think there may be some good value out there on the visiting underdogs.

Odds Overview
Practically every sportsbook out there has San Antonio favored by six or six and a half points, which is quite a change from the opening number which was available at Pinnacle on Tuesday. The Stars opened as 8.5-point favorites there, so obviously the public were all over the Shock when the WNBA betting lines were first released.

The O/U is at 156.5 right now. 

[gameodds]15/275536/?r3=43-19-349/dec&r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Tulsa Shock
The Shock have opened the 2014 season with consecutive losses. They fell to this same Stars team in the opener, losing 76-80 on the road, and followed that with a heart-wrenching 93-94 loss to Minnesota at home.

You've got to credit Tulsa for the toughness they showed in hanging with the incredibly talented Lynx. As a team the Shock shot 47.8 percent overall while hitting 9-of-23 (39.1 percent) from beyond the arc.

Skylar Diggins led the way with 21 points (7-of-15 FG) and five assists, but it was a pretty balanced effort across the board for Tulsa. Glory Johnson chipped in with 11 points and nine boards.

All five starters scored in double figures and they got double-digit scoring off the bench from Odyssey Sims and Jordan Hooper as well. Once again Courtney Paris was excellent on the glass, pulling down 12 rebounds to go with her 10 points – she's now averaging 11.5 PPG and 13.0 RPG on the year.

However, all eyes are on Diggins. After a very modest rookie season which saw her average 8.5 PPG, she's looking like a completely different player early on in 2014. Let's see if she can dominate the Stars again after dropping a 20/9/8 line (with three steals) in the first meeting. 

 

San Antonio Stars
Coming in to tonight, the Stars have logged a 2-2 record with wins over Tulsa (80-76) and Phoenix (78-74) and losses to Atlanta (75-79) and Los Angeles (62-83).

San Antonio didn't look good at all in the loss to the Sparks in a game they were out-matched in from the very start. They were down 27-15 in the first quarter and, despite a run in the second, they were out-scored 42-24 in the second half.

It's difficult to pinpoint good individual performances in the loss. Jia Perkins was the highlight, scoring 17 points on 8-of-15 shooting off the bench.

If you look over the statistics, the Stars haven't been doing much of anything too well. They're ranked #9 in the WNBA in scoring (73.8 PPG), but it's not like they've been saving their energy for the other end of the court. They're #8 in points allowed (78.0 PPG) entering tonight.

The two players to watch will be Perkins (13.5 PPG and 3.5 RPG) and Danielle Robinson, who's averaging 15.5 PPG, 5.5 RPG and 5.5 APG through the first four games of the season.

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WNBA Pick
The Shock may not have won yet season, but they were very close in each loss, including against the defending champion Lynx.

Tonight, there's a good chance their luck will turn around. While we believe they could easily win this game straight up, we'll play it safe and take the 6.5 points that come with backing Tulsa on the spread.

We have to go with the more talented team, at least on the offensive end of the floor, in this WNBA betting spot, and in our estimation that's the Shock. Look for Diggins, Johnson and Paris to lead the road team to the cover.

WNBA Pick: Tulsa Shock +6.5

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