Wednesday's NBA Player Props: Over, Over & Over Again!

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, January 14, 2015 8:36 PM GMT

As an NBA handicapper, it's one of my favorite times of the day when we make the picks for the NBA Player Props as I see it as a major opportunity to make a profit over the long run.

How Many Points Will James Harden Score?
Over 26.5 -125
Under 26.5 -105

James Harden reminds of me of a locomotive. The man doesn't bother to side step and make moves; he goes head on. A great example of his confidence was in his last game against the Brooklyn Nets in which Harden took off down the court and literally stiff-armed one of the Nets defenders. It was an offensive foul, but it just showed that the man thought that the lane belonged to him and most of the time, it does.

Harden has been productive in his last two games, scoring 30 points apiece and I see no reason why he would slow down now tonight against the Magic. The odds say it and I say it; take the over.

NBA Player Props Picks: Over 26.5 -125

 

How Many Points Will Trevor Ariza Score?
Over 12 -115
Under 12 -115
As a Knicks fan, I think of all of the players like Jordan Hill and Trevor Ariza that the Knicks gave away for nothing because they couldn't wait for the player to mature. Ariza came into this league a 19 year old kid and now he's a legitimate offensive and defensive force on a good NBA team. He's picked up his offense lately, scoring 12 points or more in 3 of his last 4 games. It's difficult to get your shots as a member of the Rockets, but against the Magic, I am willing to place my NBA pick trusting that Ariza will play good enough to amass more than 12 points.

NBA Player Props Picks:  Over 12- 115

 

How Many Points Will Kemba Walker Score?
Over 23.5 -115
Under 23.5 -115
I knew that Kemba Walker has been on a hot streak, but 23.5 points is a very high numbers, especially against the San Antonio Spurs and no matter who Gregg Popovich sends out there. The Spurs can surprise you. They can go on a losing streak, but you know that they'll be in the playoffs fighting it out near the end.

We take a look at Kemba's numbers and the numbers don't lie; he's been a flatout beast as of late. In his last 5 games, he's scored 28 points or more. Eventually, he will come back down to earth, but the trend is difficult to go against. I was leaning towards the under, but in reality, the total is quite low. Take Kemba and over the NBA odds. I know that it sounds contradictory, but the numbers don't lie.

NBA Player Props Picks:  Over 23.5 -115

 

Total Points For Michael Carter- Williams
Over 15.5 -115
Under 15.5 -115
I know that I sound like a broken record picking overs, but this total appears to be a bit low despite a lackluster sophomore season for MCW. He's coming off of a 20 point effort against the Atlanta Hawks and plays a great team in Toronto, but a team with a poor defense. Again, I like the over.

NBA Player Props Picks: Over 15.5 -115

 

Total Points For Derrick Rose
Over 19.5 -115
Under 19.5 -115
Who would've thought that 19.5 points would be too high for this one time MVP of the league? Rose is very unreliable and although I can't feel another man's pain, it's widely known across the league the Rose has lost the desire to play basketball.

I'm sure that Chicago general management has treated him with kid gloves, but let's face it, this isn't the same Derrick Rose mentally. In his last 10 games, Derrick Rose has scored 19 points or less. I hate the total for a player averaging less than 17 points per game. What more do I need to say? Bet under for tonight's game against the Wizards.

NBA Player Props Picks: Under 19.5 -115