Wednesday's NBA Picks on the Total Influenced by Strong Defense Coupled with Weak Offense

Joe Catalano

Wednesday, January 28, 2015 5:28 PM GMT

Wednesday, Jan. 28, 2015 5:28 PM GMT

With a full slate of NBA action on this Wednesday, there's plenty of opportunity to put you ahead of the game where the betting totals are concerned. Let's break down a couple of these game and find where the profit lies.

Detroit Pistons vs. Philadelphia 76'ers

Sixers Can't Score
It's clearly established that aside from being one of the worst teams in the league, the Philadelphia 76'ers can't score to save their lives. You have to go back to December 13th to find a game in which the Sixers scored over 100 points. In their last 3 games, they're averaging just 81 points per game and on the season the Sixers rank 30th in the league in points at 89.5.

Aside from their inability to score, the Sixers had to endure their last game without last year's Rookie of the Year in Michael Carter-Williams due to illness. It's not confirmed that Carter-Williams will play in this game, but it is confirmed that Tony Wroten is out for the season.

The question is where will Philly's offense come from? Robert Covington will get Philadelphia double figure points, but is shooting just 38.9 % from the field and 33.3% from the field in his last 10 games. In their last game, a loss in which the Sixers managed just 74 points against the New Orleans Pelicans, K.J. McDaniels, a part-time player, led the way with 16 points. 

Bottom line; the Detroit Pistons have their own scoring issues, averaging under 100 points per game and leading scorer Brandon Jennings is out for the season. That said, D.J, Augustin has been coming up huge in a starting role, but how long will that last for? As long as Philadelphia is involved, bet under the NBA odds total.

NBA Basketball Pick: Under 194 at 5 Dimes

 

Oklahoma City Thunder vs. New York Knicks

Will Melo Play?
This is a big issue concerning the outcome of this game. New York had won 3 straight games and had their best run of the season and Derek Fisher decided to sit Carmelo Anthony against Charlotte and New York was defeated by a Hornets team that won 8 out of their last 10 games.

 

Tanking It?
That said, the Knicks were much more competitive; these recent wins have given them some confidence, but there's question marks behind the status of Carmelo Anthony, Amare Stoudemire, and Jose Calderon. The Knicks will say that they want to win, but in the back of their mind, they have to be thinking about getting a lottery pick and landing Jahlil Okafor net season. Phil Jackson was at Mike Krzyzewski's 1000th win and that told me that they have Okafor on the brain. The only way to get Okafor is by losing and underperforming offensively.

On the bright side, Derek Fisher is allowing a lot of young, hungry players some playing time and we're seeing a higher quality of basketball.

Guard, Langston Galloway, has worked his way from the D-League to 2 -10 day contracts to a contract next season and he's been producing offensively, averaging 12.1 points per game, but unfortunately for New York, the rest of the team is coming up short. Tim Hardaway Jr. hasn't been able to find his shot, but without Melo, scored 25 points against Charlotte. When Carmelo returns, you will see a drop in Hardaway Jr's offense and all of these factors lead to the under.

New York is averaging 92.8 points per game and for the total to go over, both teams would have to play well. I don't see that happening as the Thunder are a near double-digit favorite on the road.

Kevin Durant missed OKC's last game and I expect him to return tonight. Russell Westbrook also had a very poor offensive game in a 92-84 win over Minnesota and since the injurie sthat the Thunder have had to endure, they haven't been the same team. Look for players such as Serge Ibaka to play well as the defense prevails tonight.

Free NBA Basketball Pick: Under 197.5 at 5 Dimes

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