Wednesday, 8 p.m. ET
Free NBA Pick: Nets ATS
Best Line Offered: Bovada
Houston is finally beginning to resemble the 65-win team that finished with the best record in the NBA last season and they are winning games on the back of James Harden. The reigning MVP has been on a scoring tear of late, managing to eclipse 30 points in 17 straight games, including a season-high 57 points in a win against Memphis on Monday. The Rockets are in need of these super-human performances from Harden because of the injuries surrounding the roster.
The team has played a large chunk of the season without perennial All-Star and floor general Chris Paul and now will have to spend a good portion without their rim-running big man. Clint Capela will miss up to six weeks with a right thumb injury and his presence will be sorely missed. Brooklyn will try to take advantage of Capela’s absence by utilizing big man Jarrett Allen, who has turned into a quality starting NBA center in his third season in the league.
In the backcourt, the Nets boast a versatile combination of D’Angelo Russell and Spencer Dinwiddie, who put immense pressure on opposing defenses with their downhill playing style of attacking the basket. Dinwiddie is having a career season with a PER (player efficiency rating) of 17.5, stemming from 16.5 points per game, 5.0 assists, and 2.5 rebounds per game. The thing that makes Dinwiddie so effective is his combination of above-average ball-handling ability and size that allows him to carve through defenses to initiate offense and find open teammates. Russell is finally turning into the player that many draft experts believed he could be when he was selected No. 2 overall in the 2015 draft.
This line opened at Rockets favored by 4, but you can now find the Nets getting 4.5 points in most books and even 5 points in others, look to take advantage of the Nets’ 54% cover rate ATS on the road this season.
Trends To Look For
- Nets are 12-10 ATS on the road
- Rockets are 7-8 ATS against Eastern Conference teams
- Nets are 14-11 ATS on one day of rest
- Nets are 10-10 as away underdogs
Wednesday, 10:30 p.m. ET
Free NBA Pick: Pelicans ATS
Best Line Offered: Pinnacle
The Warriors are coming off of a big win that saw them seize first place in the Western Conference by beating the Nuggets 142-111. The Warriors are beginning to look like their old selves and that does not bode well for the rest of the league going forward, however this game is the quintessential trap game for a team who may overlook an inconsistent opponent such as the Pelicans. Golden State opened up as 6-point favorites and that line has now ballooned up to seven points.
New Orleans will look to ride the wave of their best player, Anthony Davis, who is coming off of a tour-de-force performance of 46 points and 15 rebounds in a road win against the Clippers. The Pelicans are beginning to get back into a groove of their own, now that they actually have a point guard in their lineup. Elfrid Payton was sorely missed in the Pelicans lineup and now that he is back from a sprained ankle that kept him sidelines for several weeks, he is able to run the offense and allow Jrue Holiday to play his natural position of shooting guard.
New Orleans should be able to take advantage of a Warriors team fatigued from playing on the second night of a back-to-back. Golden State has not been the best team covering at home this season as they only have a 10-13 record ATS in Oracle arena. The Pelicans will cover with a full complement of players in rotation tonight.
Trends to Look For
- Warriors 19-25 ATS this season
- Pelicans 8-6 ATS as road underdogs
- Warriors are 10-12 ATS home favorites
- Warriors are 2-4 ATS on no rest