Warriors Wins But Won't Cover, Take Pistons +14 as the NBA Pick

David Lawrence

Monday, November 9, 2015 1:20 PM GMT

The Detroit Pistons and Golden State Warriors are fighting for respect in their own situations and in their own ways. Detroit has been a surprise team so far, are they the NBA Pick?

Momentum
The Pistons beat the Phoenix Suns on the road on Friday, scoring 58 points in the second half and outworking Phoenix at that end of the court. Detroit has been a decent road team to start this season, getting its share of wins against teams which figure to contend for playoff spots. The Pistons haven’t won games against the likes of the Warriors or the Spurs or the Los Angeles Clippers, but they have won those games against teams in the middle of the Western Conference, such as the Suns. They played Portland late Sunday night, which is relevant here if only because this represents the second game of a road back-to-back, something that might be a challenge and an obstacle for coach Stan Van Gundy’s team.

The Warriors beat Sacramento last Saturday, but scored “only” 103 points against a Kings team that was without DeMarcus Cousins and Darren Collison. Should that be a cause for concern? Is that a sign the Warriors are already getting bored with their season? It could be. The Warriors certainly went through spells last season when they just wouldn’t play that well for three or four games at a time. Their talent would enable them to get by here and here, but it would take a bad loss to get them to wake up and return to being very diligent and on-task. Will a boredom-based letdown occur here? It’s at least worth considering the possibility, even though Golden State is unbeaten.

 

Matchup
With this matchup, there is a highlight above all others: Andre Drummond of the Pistons against the Golden State frontline of Andrew Bogut and Festus Ezeli. Drummond is playing like an All-Star. The young big man seems to be entering into a real comfort zone in his career. Golden State’s guards are so much better than Detroit’s guards, but if Drummond can dominate his interior matchup enough, this game could become a lot more interesting.

 

What’s The Pick?
The Pistons are trying to show that they are a playoff team, one which can play well with enough consistency to get the organization headed in the right direction. The Pistons know that they are not title contenders and won’t be for at least this season and the next. Being able to make a real run in 2018 would represent an on-time arrival for this franchise, which used to be counted on to make the Eastern Conference Finals but has since fallen on hard times.

The Warriors look like the best team in the NBA once again. Stephen Curry looks like the MVP of the league once again. The team looks like it’s fun, freewheeling, run-and-gun, open-court-devouring self. The rest of the league just isn’t playing with same pace or passion or polish as the defending champions, who are establishing a very high level of play and are daring anyone else to match it.

The Warriors started as 13.5-point favorites on the NBA odds but are now up to -14. Bettors simply can’t deny how great the Warriors are in comparison to the league.

However, the strain of being unbeaten might be numbing the Warriors a little bit. This team might already be weighed down to a slight extent by the routine nature of its wins. The Warriors should win, but will they be relentless enough to cover a fat double-digit number? Probably not. Take the Pistons with your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Detroit +14 at Heritage

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