Warriors Will Win Title Again but Won't Reach Projected Victory Total

Monday, October 1, 2018 6:10 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 1, 2018 6:10 PM UTC

You know who the best team in the NBA is when the season starts, and barring in-season injuries or blockbuster trades, that team usually at least makes the NBA Finals. The Warriors likely will go a step further.

<h2 style="text-align:center">Warriors' 2018-19 Season Win Total</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Under 63.5 (-115)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4427&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a></h2><ul> <li><strong>2017-18 Record: </strong>58-24</li> <li><strong>2017-18 ATS Record: </strong>45-57-1</li> <li><strong>2018-19 Season Win Total (<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4427&amp;book=BOVADA" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">Bovada</a>): </strong>(63.5)</li> <li><strong>Odds To Make Playoffs (Bovada): </strong>(-10000)</li> <li><strong>Odds To Win Division (<a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4423&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a>): </strong>(-1500)</li> <li><strong>Odds To Win Western Conference (BetOnline): </strong>(-225)</li> <li><strong>Odds To Win NBA Championship (BetOnline): </strong>(-150)</li></ul><p> </p><h2>ATS Outlook</h2><p>Last season the Warriors ended a six-year run of being profitable ATS in both the regular season and playoffs. Since 2011-12, the Warriors went 303-246-8 (55.12%) ATS and the party finally came to an end last season. With the addition of DeMarcus Cousins and a general feeling of inevitability when it comes to <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" title="Live NBA Odds">the Dubs’ championship odds</a>, chances are they will be overvalued ATS once again in 2018-19.</p><p>However, that being said, their championship odds have been altered dramatically because of the Lakers’ addition of LeBron James, but will it really matter in the end? The Lakers are still a bunch of fledging youngsters and value-veterans beside James, which is not enough to dethrone Golden State.</p><p>The Lakers might make a run in the Western Conference Finals, and there is no doubt they could beat some other Western Conference powerhouses in a seven-game series. However, this isn’t going to help the Warriors much in any other aspect other than when they play the Lakers.</p><p>After being one of the five worst ATS teams in the regular and postseason last year, the Warriors will likely improve on that mark, but only slightly.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;How many rings would Steph Curry and the Warriors have if these guys stayed healthy? 🤔 &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/LJxF5xT4vn\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/LJxF5xT4vn&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Mars Reel (@marsreel) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/marsreel/status/1046810380503273472?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;October 1, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><h2>Can Anyone Dethrone The Warriors?</h2><p>The simple answer is no. Outside of the Lakers trading away some of their young guys for some superstar-level talent and it all coming together magically in a limited amount of time, the Warriors are winning the West, and <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" title="Free NBA Picks">they are winning it all</a>.</p><p>No matter if it’s the Celtics, Sixers, Raptors, or another surprise team out of the East, the toughest road for the Warriors will be getting to the Finals. After that it should be pretty smooth sailing.</p><p>With that in mind, the better question is whether the Warriors can win more or less than their season win total of 63.5. The West has continued to adapt to the Warriors, and with James coming over, losing only 19 games might be a stretch. The Lakers, Jazz, and Rockets all got better, and the Thunder, Blazers, Nuggets, and Spurs are still dangerous teams in their own buildings.</p><p>As we saw last season, all it takes is an injury to Steph Curry or Kevin Durant to make the "under" seem like a certified value. Right now Bovada has some pretty big chalk on the "under" at -155, with the "over" at +125. This tells me others have had the same thought that their win total is a little high, even with a healthy (outside of Cousins) club. I think the Warriors are definitely a 60-win team, but I don’t see them winning 64 games without Cousins to start the year.</p>
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