We made a profit with our NBA prop picks last night & now focus on Game 4 of the Western Conference Finals. I have three more props NBA picks from Bovada for your wagering pleasure.
Dwight Howard O/U 32 points and rebounds
Because most of the Rockets never showed up in Game 3 of this series, Dwight Howard wasn’t on the court long enough to cash the over for this very prop. However the only issue is the sportsbooks probably read my last article, and now instead of some nice NBA betting odds for this prop, the over is only -130. However, in my eyes that’s still value. Even with his injury, Howard was on pace for about 17 points and 17 rebounds in Game 3, which would have easily cashed the over. I’m going back to the well once again tonight. Howard has a rebounding percentage of 22%, which leads the NBA in the playoffs. He is going to give everything he has tonight on both ends, and grabbing rebounds both offensive and defensive is the main task. Take the over, and let’s hope the Rockets can at least get some dignity in this series.
My NBA Pick: OVER 32 (-130)
Draymond Green O/U 28.5 points, rebounds and assists
At first glance this number seems low, and it is. However, betting the over comes with a price of -135. It’s a tough one for me, however I am willing to take a chance on it, just because it seems like with every passing game of this series, Draymond Green gets a little better. Green is like Rogue from the X-Men. Defensively he absorbs all of the strengths of his opponents into one, and he has shown his powers in the playoffs. In the three games of this series, Green is averaging 14 points, 11 rebounds and nearly seven assists. If that’s not good enough for you, outside of his Game 4 performance against New Orleans in the first round, he had his best game of the postseason last game going for 17 points, 13 rebounds and five assists. 28.5 should be no problem, so even with the chalk, I’m taking the over.
My NBA Pick: OVER 28.5 (-135)
Harrison Barnes O/U 11.5 points
Harrison Barnes is one of the more underrated players in the NBA, and he goes completely unnoticed and sometimes unheralded. However we can use this to our advantage in the NBA Odds from Bovada tonight. Barnes has a points total of 11 ½ tonight, and with the slump he has been in over the last few days, the under seems like the play. In Games 2 and 3, Barnes shot 3-17 for only seven points. He is also shooting just 26% from the three-point line over his last nine games. This doesn’t lead me to believe he is going to find his stroke in this game, however there might be a reason for his struggles. The Warriors have been so good on defensively with Barnes on the floor, that he may be expending all of his energy on defense, and his offense has suffered. With Barnes on the floor this postseason, Golden State’s opponents have an effective field goal percentage of just 44.6, compared to 48.9 when he sits. The Dubs defensive rating also goes from 97.6 with Barnes on the floor, to 105.4 when he is off. Barnes has a very specific role on this team, and I don’t think double digit scoring is on the list most tonight. Considering his recent slump, I think the under is the NBA pick here.
My NBA Pick: UNDER 11 ½ (-115)