Warriors vs. Nuggets - Free NBA Pick November 4th

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, November 4, 2017 5:42 PM UTC

Saturday, Nov. 4, 2017 5:42 PM UTC

The Denver Nuggets have been very good lately SU, winning four of their last five games. Now they have the Warriors at the Pepsi Center, and coming off a game last night, I could see a very big gap in their defense against Golden State.

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Free NBA Pick: OVER 228Best Line Offered: at Bovada Warriors vs. Nuggets

Denver barely got the win on Friday night against the visiting Miami Heat, but the big difference from that game compared to some of their others to start the season was pace.

Denver played very fast last season, and while they have slowed down some to start 2017-18 when they play a faster-paced team like the Warriors, they tend to play up in pace. The Warriors are 9 point favorites in the NBA odds board

On the heels of a back to back, and in their own building, I expect nothing less but fast-paced offense from Denver. They can afford to try to go toe-to-toe with the defending champs early in the season. When they are fighting to make the playoffs later in the year, they might be a bit more conservative, but Denver has cashed the over in three of their last four after five straight under, and I think the tide is turning towards a speedier Nuggets offense.

The over has cashed in three straight between these two teams, and it’s also 49-34 between these to clubs dating back to 1996. Last season in all of their games, at least one of the teams got to 125 points, and if the Warriors don’t get to 120 tonight, they might just lose.

Denver’s offense has been very efficient to start the season. With newly signed Gary Harris and Paul Millsap playing off Nikola Jokic well, and a stable of young guards and wings that can shooting, the Nuggets are averaging 108.7 points per 100 possessions, which is tied for 10th in the league.

So far the Warriors are posting nearly 119 points per 100 possessions this season, and I see them pushing the Nuggets, who are on the second half of a back to back.

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