Even though they were a little late coming out this afternoon, Bovada has released their player props for tonight’s Game 4 matchup. There are some intriguing NBA Odds on the boards right now, and below are my three best bets for player props tonight.
LeBron James Points and Rebounds – O/U 46.5
This number seems daunting at first, but when you look at what LeBron James has been doing for not only this series, but for the entire playoffs, the over keeps looking better. Even if he doesn’t have 40 points tonight, (which is seemingly unlikely because the Warriors have had no answer for him in the first three games) LeBron’s rebounding has been outstanding as well. He is averaging over 10 rebounds per game for the playoffs, and in these Finals he has grabbed 36 boards, which is good for 12 per game on average. That would mean we still have a shot at cashing this prop if LeBron only scores in the low to mid 30s. Imagine me putting air quotes around the word “only,” though when talking about LeBron scoring that many points.
NBA Pick: OVER 46.5 points and rebounds (-135)
Stephen Curry Assists – O/U 6.5
Stephen Curry could be on the verge of the game of his life, and after finding the rhythm late in Game 3, I would not be surprised if we see true greatness versus greatness tonight in the battle between LeBron and Curry. However, that could mean that Curry’s facilitating goes down some if he stays hot from the perimeter, and seven or more assists might be too much to ask for. Curry has only gotten seven or more assists in four of his last 14-playoff games. On top of all of this is the very valuable NBA odds for this prop. The under will potentially cash at +125, which is a solid price considering how little Curry has been dishing recently. Unless a flurry of other Warriors are all of a sudden hitting shots, Curry shouldn’t have more than his normal five or six assists tonight, making the under a great play for our NBA picks.
NBA Pick: UNDER 6.5 assists (+125)
Must Check: NBA Prop Betting Directory
Draymond Green Rebounds and Assists – O/U 13
Before the Finals started, in every series Draymond Green was putting up LeBron-like numbers in most games in the rebounding and assist department. Even though he never got a playoff triple double, he did have a couple games where he was getting 15 or even 20 rebounds and assists in a game. However, in this series things have changes. His rebounding has taken a serious hit having to try and box out Tristan Thompson, and if he isn’t trying to defend a bigger player, he is taking his shots at LeBron himself. Neither of which are very helpful when trying to rebound, and with the Warriors’ offense falling apart before our eyes, Green’s assist numbers have taken a hit. He averaged over five assists per game in the first three rounds, however he sits at 2.7 per game in this series. With his rebounding also down to only 7.7 per game in the Finals, he has yet to hit 13 total rebounds and assists in a game this series, and I doubt it starts tonight.
NBA Pick: UNDER 13 rebounds and assists (-105) at Bovada