Game 2 of the NBA Finals was nothing short of amazing, but now as the series shifts over to Cleveland, are the Cavs suddenly the favorite? Bovada has some very interesting team props for tonight’s game, and I have found three NBA Odds that look like great value.
Alternate Total – 201 ½
We have seen some low scoring games so far in these Finals, which absolutely favors the Cavs. However I could see that changing tonight. As the series get deeper, the scoring normally tends to trend upward. This is the NBA, and good offense always beats good defense, and while the Cavs have been playing good defense, it’s just a matter of time before the Dubs’ shots start falling more. The Cavs are better on defense with Matthew Dellavedova in the game for Kyrie Irving, but I doubt he limits Stephen Curry as much as he did in Game 2. That being said, I think the over could be the play tonight at 194, and with the NBA betting odds for the over at +190 for this total of 201 1/2, taking a stab at this one could be profitable as well. Both teams shot below 40% from the field in Game 2, and I think that may be the bottom.
NBA Pick: OVER 201 ½ (+190)
Cavs Team Total – O/U 96
Much like the game total, the team totals present some nice value for tonight’s game. The Cavs have not shot the ball very well in the first two games of this series, but compared to the rest of the playoffs that may not be a trend that sticks around very long. At home in the playoffs, the Cavs are averaging nearly 107 points per game, and in the regular season they were over 103 points per game. With a team total of only 96 points tonight in their return home, this could be some very easy money. The Warriors defense so far in this series has been lackluster at best, and if I’m right about the Warriors offense picking up some in this game, I bet the Cavs will have to pick things up on offense as well. Don’t expect a game like we saw in the Conference Finals from either one of these teams, but both teams could get to 100 tonight if the jump shots are going in.
NBA Pick: OVER 96 (-115)
Last Shot of the Game
I was completely wrong about this one in Game 2, but after learning my lesson I am trying it again here in Game 3. At -115, a free throw could be the last shot of the game, especially if it’s close down the stretch. It was the final shot of Game 2 by Lebron James in a close contest, and if this one is close once again down the stretch, a free throw will absolutely be the final shot of the game. It would have been the final shot of Game 1 as well if it wasn’t for that garbage time Lebron layup to make the score 108-100, and as long as it stays close, one of these teams is going to be at the free throw line at the end of the game.
NBA Pick: Free Throw (-115)