Warriors Tear Through West & Earn NBA Pick over Rockets

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, January 21, 2015 4:06 PM GMT

The Rockets will lineup against the Warriors. Last year, Houston was in control of the series winning 2/3 games but, this year the tables have turned, Warriors have been absolutely powerful.

Houston Rockets vs. Golden St. Warriors (-7-) 10:35 ET ESPN
At 10:35 ET, the Houston Rockets will lineup against the Golden St. Warriors as the nation watches on ESPN.  Last year, Houston was in control of the series winning 2/3 games.  But, this year the tables have turned.  Already these teams have met each other on 3 occasions.  Golden St. has been absolutely dominant all 3 times.  The victories have come by counts of 98-87 at Houston, 105-93 at Golden St. then 131-106 this past Sunday at Houston.  Houston could be excused for the earlier defeats, as Howard was injured for both those contests.  On Sunday, he was back in the lineup, posting 23/10.  But, the Warriors' offense was too much as they shot 55% from the field, led by 27 apiece from Curry and Thompson.  That sets the stage for the final meeting of the year between these two. Our question is whether Golden St. continues their dominance or if Houston gets a measure of revenge.  Let's take a look inside each of these teams NBA odds for the answer.

Houston is tied with Dallas for the 4th spot in the West.  That is exactly the position they were in at the close of last season.  They have improved, however, on the defensive side of the ball where they allow just 98 PPG compared to 103 PPG LY.  With better defense has come a better road record at 14-6 SU.  But, they have struggled in this rare role, posting a 0-2 ATS record as road dog of 4 or more points.  Howard and Harden are the name players but hard-working interior force Ariza and PG Beverly also deserve much of the credit.  Houston enters off a bounce back win at home vs. Indiana on Monday night (110-98).  But, that does not provide enough confidence.

Golden St. has been a solid playoff team each of the last 2 seasons with 47 wins two years ago and 51 wins last year in the regular season.  That was good for 6th place in the West.  This season, Golden St. has taken it to a whole new level under 1st year HC Kerr. Their offense is averaging 110 PPG, the best in the NBA.  Their 11.7 PPG margin of victory is more than 5 points better than No. 2 Portland.  The splash brothers, Curry and Thompson, get the ink for their Rainbow jumpers,  but Bogut, Barnes and Lee are meaningful contributors on both ends of the floor.  Along the way, Golden St. has amassed some solid numbers.  Consider the following:  they are 25-7 ATS as a favorite this year.  Golden St. has won 10/11 recent games with their last 9 victories all coming by double digits.  Their previous victory came Monday night on this floor by a count of 122-79 against Denver.  That was their 16th consecutive home court victory. 

As for my NBA pick, all signs to point to a momentum victory by Golden St.  They have the favorite/dog dichotomy, the momentum of their recent winning streak and a proven history of the ability to dominate this opponent this season.  Must lay what is a reasonable number at home with the best team in the NBA.

Free NBA Pick: Take Golden St. Warriors