Warriors Riding Unusual 10-Game ‘Under’ Streak Into Houston

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Matthew Jordan

Monday, March 27, 2017 5:19 PM GMT

The Golden State Warriors have the top-ranked offense in the NBA as they are averaging 115.9 points per game. However, they also are on a 10-game streak of the ‘under’ hitting. What’s up with that ... and will it end Tuesday in Houston?

So why have 10 straight Warriors games gone ‘under’ the total? Certainly the sportsbooks are inflating their totals. Just once has a total been under 200 in that run: Golden State’s 107-85 loss in San Antonio on March 11 when the Warriors sat all their stars in the second of a back-to-back and so did the Spurs. Since then, every Warriors total has been at least 207.5.

Obviously the Warriors miss Kevin Durant’s offense, but they have won seven straight heading into Tuesday’s showdown at Houston, which has the NBA’s No. 2 offense at 115.8 ppg. We all recognize how good the Warriors are offensively. They have scored 100 or more points in 68 games this season and are 59-9 in them. Boston is the only team to prevent the Warriors from reaching the century mark at home. The Warriors average 22.7 fast-break points per game, first in the NBA.

What you may not be aware of is that Golden State also is tied with San Antonio for first in defensive rating at 101 points per 100 possessions. Draymond Green and Andre Iguodala are two of the best defensive players in the NBA at their positions. The Warriors have won 90 of their past 93 regular-season games when holding the opponent below 100 points.

The Warriors opened as 2-point favorites for Tuesday’s game against the Rockets but Houston is  now -1.5. It's only the second time this season the Warriors are dogs. The total has dropped from 237 to 234. The highest total for any game this season was 242 when Golden State last visited Houston on Jan. 20. The Warriors won 125-108. Durant had 32 points. The Rockets, the NBA’s most prolific 3-point shooting team, were just 7-for-35 from long range.

Houston won the first game against Golden State this season in two overtimes to snap an eight-game regular-season losing streak to the Warriors. The Dubs are averaging 126.0 points on 46.6 percent shooting vs. Houston this year, while the Rockets are averaging 120.0 ppg on 44.6 percent from the field. Houston has lost the past five regular-season home meetings in the series. The ‘under’ is 4-1 in the past five games there. The ‘under’ is 10-1 in Golden State’s past 11 after a win.

Golden State coach Steve Kerr does plan to play all his key guys Tuesday even though the Warriors have a huge game Wednesday in San Antonio. Rockets star James Harden is dealing with a jammed left wrist suffered on March 18 in Denver but it is expected to play. Harden appeared to irritate the wrist when he fell on it late in Sunday's win against Oklahoma City.

NBA Free Pick: 'Under' 234Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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