Warriors & Pistons 'Over' for NBA Picks

Jeff Grant

Monday, February 24, 2014 3:03 PM GMT

Monday, Feb. 24, 2014 3:03 PM GMT

The Detroit Pistons have played some high-scoring games as slight home underdogs this season, as they prepare to take on the Golden State Warriors Monday. Should NBA bettors be quick to look at the total in this matchup, and if so, which side of the line should they choose?

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for this non-conference matchup at The Palace of Auburn Hills, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

Read our NBA Picks of the Day for more free plays.

Enjoying life after the break

Golden State is 3-0 SUATS since the All-Star break, as it looks to build off a 93-86 victory over the Brooklyn Nets as five-point home favorites last Saturday, while going UNDER the betting total in each of those affairs. 

The Warriors are led by their youthful backcourt of guards Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson, who are averaging a combined 42.3 points per game. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 9-3 SU and 7-5 ATS as road favorites of three or fewer points, with the UNDER going 7-5 in that situation. 

Struggling

Detroit is 1-4 SUATS over its last five games, as it attempts to bounce back from a 113-102 defeat to the Dallas Mavericks as three-point home underdogs last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for the eighth time in 10 contests. 

The Pistons are capable of going over the century mark against any opponent, considering four of their five probable starters are averaging double figures, with point guard Brandon Jennings leading the way at 17.4 points a contest. 

Series history

NBA handicappers will be interested in backing the Warriors as a road favorite, as they’ve won their last five meetings against the Pistons—holding them under 100 points in each of those affairs. 

Golden State is 16-12 SU on the road, including a solid 7-2 mark when facing Eastern Conference foes

Dominate the glass

The Pistons are averaging a league-high 14.5 offensive rebounds per game—a statistic to keep an eye on when watching this game due to Warriors center Andrew Bogut (shoulder) and forward David Lee (illness) both being listed as doubtful on the latest injury reports.

Detroit is 13-18 SU at home, including a dismal 2-10 mark when taking on Western Conference opponents.

[gameodds]5/256389/?r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks, as the OVER is 6-0 when the Pistons have tipped off as home underdogs of three or fewer points this season. 

Free NBA Pick:  Over 208.5

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