Warriors vs. Mavericks Picks, Predictions: Doncic, Curry Set to Clash
Superstars collide at American Airlines Center in a prime-time Tuesday matchup. Let's examine the matchup with our Warriors-Mavericks picks.
Steph Curry vs. Luka Doncic. You couldn’t ask for a better prime-time matchup. This head-to-head clash has been yielding some electric results over the years. But how can we approach it from a betting standpoint?
Here are our Warriors-Mavericks NBA picks for Tuesday (odds via PointsBet and DraftKings Sportsbook; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Warriors vs. Mavericks Game Info
Date: Tuesday, Nov. 29, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: TNT
Location: American Airlines Center, Dallas, TX
Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds
Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds Analysis
Oddsmakers have made this game a coin flip the whole way, listing the Hawks as 1.5-point road favorites to open before the line moved to a one-point spread at most books. It's especially important to shop around with spreads this short. Caesars Sportsbook is making the Hawks a 1-point underdog, while BetMGM and FanDuel are listing the road team as a 1.5-point favorite.
The total also hasn't been moving, staying at roughly 221 since the open. Under bettors would be wise to take BetMGM’s offering of 221.5, as every other major sportsbook is sticking with 221.
Warriors vs. Mavericks Picks
Warriors vs. Mavericks ATS Pick
Warriors -1.5 (-107) ★★★★★
Picking the Warriors to cover on the road has been a losing bet in 2022-23, as the Dubs are just 2-9 away from the Chase Center.
However, there’s a reason for optimism on Tuesday, as Steph and Co. have covered during three straight contests. The Mavs are 2-8-1 at home, 3-5-1 after a loss and have covered in just one of their last 15 games.
Golden State hasn’t been great ATS, but Dallas has been downright dreadful. Back the Warriors to cover, and take the longer odds at PointsBet.
Warriors vs. Mavericks O/U Pick
Over 228.5 (-107) ★★★★★
The Over has hit during games involving both of these teams frequently, with Dallas going 3-2 to the Over during its last five, and Golden State 3-0 across its last three and 4-1 over its last five.
The Mavs are 11-8 overall, and the Warriors are 12-8-1. Dallas is 8-1 following a loss and 6-5 at home, while Golden State is 6-4-1 on the road. These teams are averaging 230.1 points across seven matchups over the last two seasons. Use PointsBet, where the total is a half-point higher with slightly longer odds, but it allows you to avoid a push.
Warriors vs. Mavericks Prop Pick
Doncic to record triple-double (+540) ★★★★★
There's phenomenal value through DraftKings for this prop. Luka’s triple-double prop is being offering at odds that range from +400 to +450 at FanDuel Sportsbook, PointsBet, and Caesars Sportsbook. But DraftKings’ odds are oh so juicy.
Doncic is averaging 33 points, 8.4 boards, and six assists over seven regular-season games against the Warriors over the last two seasons. He’s posting 33.1 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 8.4 assists in 2022-23, and Doncic leads the Association in triple-doubles with four through 18 appearances.
At +540 odds, DraftKings is giving Luka a 15.6% chance to hit this prop. But he’s producing a triple-double in 22.2% of his games this season. It's easy to like those odds.
Where to Bet on Warriors vs. Mavericks Picks
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Warriors-Mavericks picks made 11/29/2022 at 9:38 a.m. ET
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