Warriors an Easy Fade Against Rising Jazz Friday

Thursday, October 18, 2018 5:53 PM UTC

Thursday, Oct. 18, 2018 5:53 PM UTC

The Golden State Warriors used to crush the NBA odds. Now that their dynasty is coming full circle, they’re the wrong pick Friday night against the rising Utah Jazz.

<h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/golden-state-warriors-vs-utah-jazz-3569358/odds/">Golden State (1-0, 0-1 ATS) at Utah (1-0, 0-1 ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Friday, 10:30 p.m. ET (ESPN)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Jazz</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4423&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow">BetOnline</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569358, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,999991,19,238,139], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Remember when the Golden State Warriors were so good, it blew everyone’s mind? It wasn’t that long ago. They won <em>73</em> games in 2015-16, for Pete’s sake. But then the Warriors lost to the Cleveland Cavaliers in the Finals, and they decided to start taking it a bit easier during the regular season. Oh, and they signed Kevin Durant. Now Golden State is one of the worst <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" target="_blank" title="NBA Picks &amp; Predictions">NBA picks</a> in the league.<br /><br />Compare and contrast to the Utah Jazz, whom the Dubs will visit this Friday night. The Jazz are on the rise in the Western Conference, but they play in the middle of nowhere, and their MVP is a defensive specialist from France. Which makes them a likely choice for your picks once the first lines hit the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" target="_blank" title="NBA Odds Board">NBA odds board</a>.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>They’re All Exhibition Games</strong></h2><p>So the Warriors were at it again during Wednesday’s 2018-19 season opener against the Oklahoma City Thunder. With Russell Westbrook not quite ready for OKC, Golden State were 12.5-point home faves; they won 108-100. Typical. Here’s how they’ve fared the past few seasons:</p><ul> <li><em>2017-18:</em> 58-24 SU, 34-47-1 ATS</li> <li><em>2016-17:</em> 67-15 SU, 40-39-3 ATS</li> <li><em>2015-16:</em> 73-9 SU, 45-35-2 ATS</li></ul><p><br />It is what it is. The Warriors were making money hand over fist before they coughed up that 3-1 Finals lead to Cleveland; now they’re pacing themselves for the postseason, and with Durant delivering back-to-back titles since arriving in Oakland, the chalk is just too damn high. It’ll probably get even worse when DeMarcus Cousins comes off the injured list and makes his Dubs debut – maybe on Christmas Day against the L.A. Lakers?</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;De'Aaron Fox leaves Ricky Rubio dazed. &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/niBq5ZdSRn\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/niBq5ZdSRn&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Scott Charlton (@Scott_Charlton) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Scott_Charlton/status/1052757225272422401?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;October 18, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2><strong>One for the Thumb</strong></h2><p>Meanwhile, the Jazz (48-34 SU, 43-39 ATS last year) won their season-opener Thursday night on the road against the Sacramento Kings, although they failed to bag the cash as 8.5-point faves in a 123-117 final. Rudy Gobert was his usual standout self in the paint with 19 points (on 7-of-9 shooting), 15 rebounds and three blocks, but point guard Ricky Rubio was off, scoring just one point in 22 minutes after jamming his thumb. That could be an issue for Utah in the short term.</p><p>The Jazz are still the right pick for Friday’s game – in theory. You’ll definitely want to keep an eye on the NBA lines and see how the odds square up with the projections; FiveThirtyEight sees this as a virtual pick’em, with Utah winning 52 percent of the time. No doubt the betting public will weigh in heavily on Golden State, so it’s just a question of whether there will be a sufficient gap between the odds and the projections, and whether that gap will show up right away at the open, or just before tip-off once all that public money comes in. Time your bets accordingly, and may the sphere be with you.</p>
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