Warriors-Cavs Game 3 Props: Betting Against Klay Again

klay thompson

Wednesday, June 7, 2017 6:30 PM GMT

The NBA Finals have been a huge hit to our bankroll, but as long as the Cavaliers can man up Wednesday in Game 3, we will hopefully have a few more games to right the ship. Here are two Game 3 props picks from Bovada sportsbook.

Golden State Warriors O/U 114 points

If Game 2 was an indication as to why this pick has -130 juice on the 'over' already, let’s put this into perspective. Sure, the Warriors score less on the road and the Cavaliers are going to come out with everything they have in this one.

However, the Cavs’ best defense is still not enough to keep the Dubs below 115 points tonight. The Warriors committed 20 turnovers to the Cavs’ 9 and they still scored 132 points in Game 2 and almost won by 20. This is the shooting prowess by Kevin Durant and Stephen Curry. Good offense is always going to beat good defense in the NBA. It’s not the same as the NFL. If the offense is superior, it’s all over.

Now, can guys like Klay Thompson and Draymond Green keep making shots on the road? Will Ian Clark and Shaun Livingston combine for 20 points again? All these things are up in the air obviously, but it still doesn’t leave out that it looks like Curry and Durant are good for a combined 60 points regardless of venue.

So can we expect to get 55 points from Green, Thompson and the rest of the Warriors’ weapons? I think we can. Between the other seven or eight guys who get minutes, if they can’t be relied on for 55 or 60 points they are going to lose this one.

Free NBA Pick: Warriors 'Over' 114 (-130)Best Lines Offered: Bovada

 

Klay Thompson O/U 18½ points

We swung and missed on betting against Thompson in Game 2 and that caught us right across the face. However, Thompson is now going on the road and there are a few things working against him in this one.

To start, his point total has gone up one since his strong performance in Game 2. Next, he is going on the road in this one, and third he may be met from the beginning against Iman Shumpert.

While Shumpert is not the defender he once was, he can still stick to Thompson pretty well with his size and lateral agility. J.R. Smith has done absolutely nothing on the floor in the NBA Finals, and the Warriors are eating him alive on defense. Even if Shumpert doesn’t start, if Smith isn’t doing anything on either end of the floor tonight expect to see a lot of Shumpert guarding Thompson.

Plus, the road has not been that kind to Thompson this season or in these playoffs. For the postseason, he is scoring more on the road but some lopsided games against the Blazers in the first round helped him out with that. Still, over six road games he has only scored more than 18½ points twice, and during the regular season his shooting percentage dropped seven points when he played on the road.

If anyone on the Warriors is due for some regression tonight with the change in venue, it’s Thompson.

Free NBA Pick: Thompson 'Under' 18.5 Points (-125)