Warriors & Cavaliers Playoff Point Spread Breakdowns

Cavs vs Warriors

Jay Pryce

Tuesday, May 9, 2017 1:26 PM GMT

The Cavaliers and Warriors are a combined 16-0 in the 2017 NBA playoffs. What about their record against the spread? Read here how they've fared against the number.

The Golden State Warriors and Cleveland Cavaliers are favorites to collide in the 2017 NBA Finals for a record-breaking third year in a row, sweeping their way through the first two rounds of the playoffs. Each is undefeated with an 8-0 SU record. For sports investors, this does not come as a huge shock. The betting market favored both teams every game. How did they do against the spread? Pretty well. Let’s examine this record in detail and look ahead to their past performances in Round 3.

The Warriors thumped the Jazz 121-95 Monday night in Utah as 9-point favorites, putting a capstone on the second-round series. Steph Curry and crew are 5-3 ATS in the playoffs. They are tipping off -10.4 chalk on average, covering the number by 6.1 points per game. Monday night was the third contest settled by more than 20 points. Golden State has won every game but one (Trail Blazers, Game 3) by a double-digit margin.

The Warriors entered the playoffs as the top seed in the Western Conference for the third straight year. They are 24-4 SU and 16-12 ATS through the first two rounds during this stretch, going off favorites in every contest. Three of the team’s four SU defeats occurred in a trio of games in which they were a short-priced favorite of 4 points or less.

When does Golden State excel at covering the point spread in the postseason? When it wins the 3-point battle, of course. Since 2014, the Warriors are 29-2 SU and 25-6 ATS in the playoffs when outshooting their opponents from the area. Curry averages 4.8 treys per game in this scenario. If bettered from downtown, Golden State slips to 10-12 SU and 4-18 ATS. Opponents have to be extra sharp, though. Even when outshot from behind the arc, the Warriors still drain 32.9 percent of 3-point attempts; foes hit 40.0 percent.

Golden State will face either the Houston Rockets or San Antonio Spurs in Round 3. It is 8-4 SU and 6-6 ATS the last two seasons in this spot, tipping off -5.5 favorites on average. The Warriors won only three games by a double-digit margin.

The Cavaliers are 6-2 ATS this postseason. They limped into the playoffs with a .500 record after the All-Star break, yet have gone off chalk in every contest. Cleveland’s average line is -5.8. It is covering the number by 3.8 points per game. Since 2014 and the return of LeBron James, the Cavs are 24-2 SU and 16-9-1 ATS through the first two rounds of the playoffs.

Like most point-spread records in the modern NBA, so much depends on 3-point shooting performances. Similar to Golden State, the Cavs are dynamite when outshooting opponents from the area in the postseason. Since 2014, they are 30-1 SU and 26-5 ATS winning the battle, 8-10 SU and 3-14-1 ATS when outplayed from deep.

Cleveland awaits the winner of the Celtics-Wizards matchup. It walked over the competition in Round 3 the last two seasons, going 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS. They swept the Hawks two years ago, and won in six versus the Raptors last time out. The Cavs’ average margin of victory over the two was 14.6, a full 8 points better than the average line (-6.6).