Warriors as Heavy Chalk Hosting Lowly Bulls

Golden State Warriors Kevin Durant

Jay Pryce

Friday, November 24, 2017 4:02 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 24, 2017 4:02 PM UTC

The Warriors look to get back on track following a 2-2 road trip when they host the rebuilding Bulls as 18-point chalk Friday night (10:30 p.m. ET). Pick, prediction, and preview this way.

Free NBA Pick: Over 214Best Line Offered: Pinnacle

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Bulls at Warriors (-18.5)

Warriors Shooting Woes, 3-Pointer Remedy

The sky is not falling after the Warriors' 108-91 defeat at the Thunder on Wednesday, but it certainly is cloudy. The 17-point defeat was its worst of the season. Golden State has dropped two of its last four, each on the road, and have failed to cover the spread in five straight. The offense is ice cold during the run. The reigning NBA champions are averaging 106.2 points on 47.7 percent shooting as opposed to 120.3 and 52.2 prior.

Since 2014, the Warriors have failed to cover a spread in five straight eight separate times. It is 5-3 ATS in the follow-up effort, playing 5.0 points above a -9.6 average line. It proved very close in the games it didn't reward bettors, too, finishing within 2.5 points of the spread in the losses.

Chicago is likely the 3-point remedy the Warriors need to get out of their funk. They have sunk just 45 of their last 133 attempts, sharpshooter Steph Curry averaging a below-average 3.2 per contest. The Bulls allow 38.6 percent to opponents from the area, 26th in the league. In six contests versus teams allowing more than the NBA average of 36 percent, Golden State is 6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS, winning by 16 points per game. It drains 13.0 treys and 117.8 points per contest.

No Chance For Bulls Upset, Justin Holiday Key For Bettors

Chicago is about where fans expected at this point during its rebuilding year. It's 3-13 SU, tied for the fewest wins in the NBA. The Bulls' -10.6 point differential ranks second to last behind the Kings (-11.3). They have won just once on the road this season and enter Oracle Arena losers of eight of their last nine.

Since Steve Kerr took over the Warriors, 62 teams with a sub-.500 record have traveled to Oakland looking to beat one of the league's best teams ever assembled. The Timberwolves are the only franchise to do so with a shock 124-117 win as 15.5-point pups in April 2015. The chances Chicago pulls off the stunner against a slumping Golden State team is virtually nil.

For bettors wishing to take the 18.5 points, oddsmakers are spotting the Bulls, root for Justin Holiday to sink some buckets. He's quietly caught up to Lauri Markkanen's 14.6 points per game to serve as Chicago's co-leader in scoring. Center Robin Lopez is tied for third with Bobby Portis at 13.4 per tilt. When Holiday puts up more than his 14.6 average, the Bulls are 5-1-1 ATS, covering a 10.0 average line by 7.1 points per game. They are just 2-6 ATS when the fourth-year scoring guard scores less. The Warriors allow 19.4 per game to shooting guards over the last two weeks, 10th fewest in the NBA.

The Bulls have not covered in their last five road contests. Holiday has failed to score more than 13 points in each, in part due to shots like these against the Lakers on Tuesday:

Justin Holiday sofreu um delírio momentâneo e arremessou no aro errado, aquele que é bem mais alto e não existe. #Shaqtin #Bulls #NBA pic.twitter.com/ySlJkM6FCz

— Layup (@LayupBR) November 22, 2017



Pick

The Warriors have fallen to the number by 10 points or more four times this season. They've exploded for 131.5 points per game in the follow-up effort, scoring 124 points or more in each. The Bulls, meanwhile, have played four on the road against winning teams. The 'over' is 3-1, a 17.8 margin skyrocketing past a 202.0 average total. Golden State's shooting gets back on track with a 120-plus performance, while the Bulls chase all game but ultimately hit the century mark. Our NBA pick for tonight is on the 'over' 215 points.

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