Visiting Heat Should Help Continue Mavericks' Downward Spiral

Jordan Sharp

Monday, January 29, 2018 5:46 PM UTC

Monday, Jan. 29, 2018 5:46 PM UTC

The Heat's superiority over the Mavericks on both ends of the floor would seem to lean toward choosing the visitors with your NBA picks tonight. Sometimes obvious is best.

Monday NBA: Heat vs. MavericksFree NBA Pick: Heat -2Best Line Offered: 5Dimes

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The Mavericks have been fading fast in the standings, and the closer we get to the all-star break, the closer we are to seeing Dallas start to tank games. What they’ll do with Dirk Nowitzki’s minutes when that time comes remains to be seen, but tonight the Heat’s defense is going to be more than enough to slow the Mavs.

Miami has been very good on the road this season, going 7-2 ATS in their last nine road games. Even though the Mavs have been pretty good as home underdogs -- and they are dogs again on the NBA odds board -- Miami is superior on both ends of the court.

Dallas' offense has been struggling lately, which should play into this one if the Heat bring their defense. The Mavericks have averaged 94.3 points per game over their last four, and even at home they’ve been shaky on offense.

Dallas owns a 104.6 offensive rating at home this season, which ranks 20th in the league, and the Heat should be able to take advantage of those poor numbers. Miami is allowing only 101 points per game on the road, and while they won’t have Dion Waiters for the rest of the season, they are healthy otherwise. Against a banged-up Mavs team that has struggled to score, especially at home, I like the Heat as road favorites with my NBA picks.

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