USA vs. Jordan Predictions, Picks & Odds: FIBA World Cup

USA's Anthony Edwards jumps during the international friendly as we look at the best FIBA World Cup odds — USA's Anthony Edwards jumps during the international friendly basketball match between Spain and US at Martin Carpena sportshall in Malaga on August 13, 2023 as a preparation ahead of the 2023 FIBA Basketball World Cup in Philippines-Japan-Indonesia. Photo by Jorge Guerrero via AFP.

Team USA is looking to sweep its way through Group C as it takes on Jordan in its final group-play game, and we're offering up our best USA vs. Jordan predictions based on the best FIBA World Cup odds.

The question of who will win this game between USA basketball and Jordan is not an issue; it's the Americans. How much, and how many highlights of dunks we're going to see with them in this process, is all that matters.

The USA basketball team is going to make a lot of noise, but keep your eyes on Rondae Hollis-Jefferson in this game. The former Arizona Wildcat is having an awesome tournament so far, averaging 31.5 points per game through his first two games of the FIBA World Cup.

The game will be a blowout, but that doesn't mean there aren't edges we can find in the betting markets.

Here is our best USA vs. Jordan predictions for Wednesday's FIBA World Cup matchup (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

USA vs. Jordan predictions: FIBA World Cup

Austin Reaves Over 3.5 assists (-118 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

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USA Basketball has had one of the easier groups in the FIBA World Cup due to Giannis Antetokounmpo's absence from the Greece roster. They've already blown out New Zealand and Greece, and they expect more of the same on Wednesday when they face Jordan, against whom they are favored by 41.5 points. Steve Kerr has already revealed his approach for these games – everyone will play 15 to 20 minutes, except for Walker Kessler.

We've seen Brandon Ingram make comments about how challenging it has been for him personally to adjust to this new role with USA Basketball and limited minutes, but that hasn't been the case for Austin Reaves. Reaves isn't passive in the minutes he plays; he becomes a playmaker the moment he steps on the court.

In an earlier tournament game, Canada set the record for the most assists in a single game by any team with 44 when they were favored by 39.5 points against Lebanon. Though I don't anticipate USA Basketball breaking the assist record, the concept remains the same: everyone should be able to create offense for each other and generate easy baskets for their teammates. When you factor in someone with as aggressive a mindset as Reaves and his playmaking skills, you have to consider taking the Over for his assists prop.

The analysis from a basketball perspective supports this pick, but more importantly, we've identified an edge in the odds. We're capitalizing on a rogue price for Reaves assists prop at BetRivers, at which the Over 3.5 assists is trading at -118. At bet365, the same bet of Over 3.5 assists is trading at -145. This isn't a minor difference; it represents a substantial gap in probability that can be exploited.

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USA vs. Jordan best odds

BetRivers (-118)

BetRivers	bet365	BetMGM
Over 3.5 assists	Over 3.5 assists	Over 4.5 assists
-118	-145	+120

BetRivers offers the best price for the Over 3.5 assists on Reaves, and it's not even close. On the other hand, BetMGM has set Reaves' total at 4.5 assists, with the Over trading at plus money. However, the fact that it's plus odds doesn't necessarily imply greater value for that bet. The best edge still lies in taking the -118 odds at BetRivers for the Over 3.5 assists.

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USA vs. Jordan odds analysis

Team USA is listed as a massive favorite against Jordan, with many of our best sports betting sites displaying a point spread of USA -41.5. The spread is so big for this game that the money line is currently unavailable at several of our best sportsbooks.

The total points for this game is set at 185.5, with increased juice on the Over. Given this increased juice on the Over, it appears likely that the total should climb to 186.5 before tipoff on Wednesday morning.

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USA vs. Jordan game info

When: Wednesday, Aug. 30, 4:40 a.m. ET.
Where: Mall of Asia Arena, Manila, Philippines
How to watch: ESPN2

USA-Jordan pick made 08/29/2023 at 8:00 a.m. ET.

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Written By:
Jon Metler

Jon Metler is a Sports Betting Analyst at SportsbookReview.com. Having played, coached, and officiated basketball, he immediately turned his attention to the NBA and College Basketball when he entered the sports betting space. Sports betting has been a part of his life for over 13 years, and he specializes in futures markets and player props, particularly in the NBA. In pursuit of value, he keeps a close eye on movements in the betting markets. He believes strongly in analytics and staying ahead of the curve; let the numbers do the talking. A graduate of the University of Windsor with a degree in Sports Studies, Jon enjoys spending time with his dogs when he isn't watching basketball.