Upset Alert: Pumped-Up Wizards Our NBA Pick Against Bucks

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, February 11, 2016 5:27 PM GMT

The Wizards have dropped their last three but hope to work their magic in Milwaukee as they take on a Bucks team that snapped their five-game losing streak. Let’s review the NBA odds.

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NBA Pick: Wizards +1.5
Best Line Offered: at Bet365

 

Washington Wizards (23-27 SU, 26-24 ATS)
The Wizards have split the first two of their three game road trip culminating in a clash with the Bucks tonight in Milwaukee. Saturday night the team bowed to the Hornets 108-104 but covered the number that the NBA odds makers hung on them as five-point road dogs. Washington then packed their bags and headed to New York for a date with the Knicks on Tuesday night which proved fruitful as the Wizards pocketed a 111-108 victory. John Wall continued his torrid play with 28 points and 17 assists spoiling Knicks coach Kurt Rambis’ New York head coaching debut, taking over for the ousted Derek Fisher.

John Wall will be making his third consecutive All-Star appearance and his play recently has elevated him to one of the very best at his position. The five-year veteran out of Kentucky and former first overall pick in the 2010 draft is averaging 27.5 PPG and 11.8 assists over the last four games. Wall is making it happen all over the court as he has seen his three-point percentage skyrocket from a career average of 30.5 percent to 41.9 percent this season. Unfortunately the Wizards’ record has not borne fruit from Wall’s career year as they sit outside the playoff bubble after 50 games.

 

Milwaukee Bucks (21-32 SU, 27-26 ATS)
A trip to the Boston Garden is what the Bucks needed to snap their five-game losing skein but it didn’t come easy. Installed as four-point road dogs to the Celtics on Tuesday night the Bucks hung on for dear life as the Shamrocks roared back from a 19 point deficit entering the fourth quarter to come within a whisper of ruining Milwaukee’s trip to the Hub. Center Greg Monroe found himself in an unfamiliar position, parked on the bench to start the game. However, when called upon to help his team he proved indispensable with 29 points and 12 rebounds.

Head coach Jason Kidd went with a new look starting lineup as OJ Mayo returned from a left hamstring injury which caused him to miss 11 games replacing Michael Carter-Williams and Miles Plumlee tipped off the game in Monroe’s stead. Both players logged 18 minutes with Plumlee notching six points while Mayo went scoreless. The team is currently 25th in scoring averaging 98.1 PPG while their 20th ranked defense is allowing 103.1 points per contest.

 

Betting Analysis
These Eastern Conference foes have faced each other on three occasions this season and tonight will be the last time this season unless, in the unlikely event, they meet in the playoffs. Washington has won all three meetings and has covered the number in two of those three contests with the last meeting being the only failed cover. If you included the Wizards in your NBA picks on that January 13th evening then you were no doubt uttering more than a few expletives as Washington surrendered a 13 point halftime lead by being outscored 31-15 in the third quarter. However, the Wizards recovered to gain a 106-101 victory but tortured their backers as 5 ½ point home chalk, losing by the fatal hook.

With the exception of that hellacious third quarter, Washington has had their way against the Bucks this season. Milwaukee seems to get up for the big teams (i.e. Golden State) but falls by the wayside when playing the lesser lights of the NBA. Washington is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road contests and 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games against Eastern Conference teams, while the Bucks are 1-4 ATS in their last five against teams with a losing record. Look for the small road pup to cash in this one.