Uninspired Celtics, Warriors Make ‘Under’ The Right NBA Pick

Monday, March 4, 2019 11:36 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 4, 2019 11:36 PM UTC

Neither team has been beating the NBA odds lately, but the ‘under’ looks good for Tuesday’s game between the Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors.

Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Mar. 4:
16-15-1 ATS, 0-4 ML (minus-9.35 units), 21-9 Totals

Boston (38-26 SU, 32-32 ATS) at Golden State (44-19 SU, 25-37-1 ATS)

Tuesday, 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT
Free NBA Pick: Under
Best Line Offered: BetOnline

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The Boston Celtics are thoroughly toxic right now. They’ve gone 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS since the All-Star break, their only win coming over the washed-up Washington Wizards. Everyone’s pointing fingers at Kyrie Irving, saying he doesn’t have the jam to lead his own team. And they may be right – at least when it comes to Boston, and Irving’s flip-flop on his commitment to take his option year in 2019-20. It’s been nothing but misery ever since.

Too bad for us that the Celtics are playing the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday. The Warriors can’t beat the NBA odds these days, either – they’re 6-4 SU and 1-9 ATS over their past 10 games. But since both these teams are going through some extended winter blahs, we’re content to put the ‘under’ in our NBA picks for a small sum.

A Bun In The Oven

The ‘under’ was the right call on Sunday when Boston lost 115-104 to the Houston Rockets (Under 225) as 2-point home faves, although that was a game where the Celtics were playing on zero days of rest. That was still the fourth straight ‘under’ for the C’s, and to help our cause, Aron Baynes (minus-0.6 OBPM, plus-1.1 DBPM) did indeed return to the lineup, sans man bun.

Baynes has become a valuable player for the Celtics by adding the 3-point shot to his repertoire; he’s connecting at a 32.7-percent clip, which is decent enough for someone who isn’t a proper stretch-5. However, it’s the other end of the court where Baynes does his best work, putting up 6.2 defensive rebounds and 1.5 blocks per 36 minutes. He’s also an “energy” guy on a team that doesn’t have a lot of energy right now.

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Steve Kerr on Klay Thompson’s right knee: “Inflammed enough where it doesn’t make sense to play him.” Klay will likely get an MRI when team gets back to Bay Area tomorrow. pic.twitter.com/ZOXTgEe2OF

— Anthony Slater (@anthonyVslater) 2 de março de 2019

Knees Of Klay

As for the Warriors, they give the ‘under’ value by being the Warriors – mostly on their own court, where they ratchet up their defensive intensity. The ‘under’ is 17-14 at The Oracle, and it’s 4-2 overall since the All-Star break, as the Dubs appear to be coasting somewhat with the playoffs in mind. It’ll be interesting if they bring Andrew Bogut back into the fold as reported; he presumably won’t be available Tuesday because of visa issues, but Bogut has been a defensive stud when healthy.

The Warriors might also be without Klay Thompson (plus-1.3 OBPM, minus-2.2 DBPM) on Tuesday. Thompson didn’t play Saturday versus the Philadelphia 76ers because of a sore right knee, helping the ‘under’ pay us out again; he didn’t practice Monday, and is considered questionable to face Boston. If Thompson misses the morning shoot-around, we’ll be even more bullish on the ‘under’ for this matchup. Bet accordingly, and may the sphere be with you.

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