Uninspired Celtics, Warriors Make ‘Under’ The Right NBA Pick

Monday, March 4, 2019 11:36 PM UTC

Monday, Mar. 4, 2019 11:36 PM UTC

Neither team has been beating the NBA odds lately, but the ‘under’ looks good for Tuesday’s game between the Boston Celtics and Golden State Warriors.

<p style="text-align:right"><em><strong>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Mar. 4: </strong><br />16-15-1 ATS, 0-4 ML (minus-9.35 units), 21-9 Totals</em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><strong>Boston (38-26 SU, 32-32 ATS) at Golden State (44-19 SU, 25-37-1 ATS)</strong></h2><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Tuesday, 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT<br />Free NBA Pick: Under<br />Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4423&amp;book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" target="_blank" title="Top Rated Sportsbook!">BetOnline</a></strong></p><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3570011, "sportsbooksIds":[238,93,1096,19,999996], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The Boston Celtics are thoroughly toxic right now. They’ve gone 1-5 SU and 2-4 ATS since the All-Star break, their only win coming over the washed-up Washington Wizards. Everyone’s pointing fingers at Kyrie Irving, saying he doesn’t have the jam to lead his own team. And they may be right – at least when it comes to Boston, and Irving’s flip-flop on his commitment to take his option year in 2019-20. It’s been nothing but misery ever since.<br /><br />Too bad for us that the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/boston-celtics-vs-golden-state-warriors-3570011/odds/" target="_blank" title="Game Odds">Celtics are playing the Golden State Warriors on Tuesday</a>. The Warriors can’t beat the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" target="_blank" title="Live NBA Odds Board">NBA odds</a> these days, either – they’re 6-4 SU and 1-9 ATS over their past 10 games. But since both these teams are going through some extended winter blahs, we’re content to put the ‘under’ in our <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" target="_blank" title="More NBA Picks">NBA picks</a> for a small sum.</p><p> </p><h2><strong>A Bun In The Oven</strong></h2><p><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/matinee-idols-take-under-when-rockets-visit-celtics/89013/" target="_blank" title="Matinee Idols: Take ‘Under’ When Rockets Visit Celtics">The ‘under’ was the right call</a> on Sunday when Boston lost 115-104 to the Houston Rockets (Under 225) as 2-point home faves, although that was a game where the Celtics were playing on zero days of rest. That was still the fourth straight ‘under’ for the C’s, and to help our cause, Aron Baynes (minus-0.6 OBPM, plus-1.1 DBPM) did indeed return to the lineup, <em>sans</em> man bun.<br /><br />Baynes has become a valuable player for the Celtics by adding the 3-point shot to his repertoire; he’s connecting at a 32.7-percent clip, which is decent enough for someone who isn’t a proper stretch-5. However, it’s the other end of the court where Baynes does his best work, putting up 6.2 defensive rebounds and 1.5 blocks per 36 minutes. He’s also an “energy” guy on a team that doesn’t have a lot of energy right now.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"pt\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Steve Kerr on Klay Thompson’s right knee: “Inflammed enough where it doesn’t make sense to play him.” Klay will likely get an MRI when team gets back to Bay Area tomorrow. &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/ZOXTgEe2OF\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/ZOXTgEe2OF&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Anthony Slater (@anthonyVslater) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/anthonyVslater/status/1101897048583008256?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;2 de março de 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;"}[/]</p><h2><strong>Knees Of Klay</strong></h2><p>As for the Warriors, they give the ‘under’ value by being the Warriors – mostly on their own court, where they ratchet up their defensive intensity. The ‘under’ is 17-14 at The Oracle, and it’s 4-2 overall since the All-Star break, as the Dubs appear to be coasting somewhat with the playoffs in mind. It’ll be interesting if they bring Andrew Bogut back into the fold as reported; he presumably won’t be available Tuesday because of visa issues, but Bogut has been a defensive stud when healthy.</p><p>The Warriors might also be without Klay Thompson (plus-1.3 OBPM, minus-2.2 DBPM) on Tuesday. Thompson didn’t play Saturday versus the Philadelphia 76ers because of a sore right knee, <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/put-the-under-in-your-nba-picks-for-warriors-sixers/89006/" target="_blank" title="Put The ‘Under’ In Your NBA Picks for Warriors-Sixers">helping the ‘under’ pay us out again</a>; he didn’t practice Monday, and is considered questionable to face Boston. If Thompson misses the morning shoot-around, we’ll be even more bullish on the ‘under’ for this matchup. Bet accordingly, and may the sphere be with you.</p>
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