Underdog Value Found in Knicks-Jazz Game Tonight

Kevin Stott

Wednesday, March 22, 2017 12:06 PM GMT

The Knicks are a powerful 21-6 ATS the L27 in the series, but with the New York allowing way too many points on the road lately, backing the Jazz might be the best angle here. Let’s look at all we know, weigh the large 10½-point spread and make an NBA pick for this game.

New York Knicks vs Utah Jazz

The New York Knicks (27-43 SU, 36-34 ATS) head to Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt Lake City today to face the Utah Jazz (43-28 SU, 31-27-3 ATS) in an interconference matchup. Sportsbooks have the Jazz as 10½-point favorites with the total at 203½ and with Utah -700 on the moneyline.

 

New York Knicks 

The Knicks (11-25 Road) are out of it, that’s part of the handicap and why this number has opened in double-digits—partly because of potential Knickerbocker apathy and partially because Utah is having a quietly nice season and are fighting for that 4th-place slot in the Western Conference. The 10:30 p.m. EDT start means an after midnight ending for New York which has allowed 114, 121, 120, 112, 104 and 105 their L6 road games. C Joakim Noah (Knee) has been out for the year, meaning Carmelo Anthony and Kristaps Porzingis have been carrying most of the load.

The Knicks are 3-7 ATS L10 vs. the Western Conference, 1-5 ATS L6 vs. teams with winning home records while the Over is 4-0 L4 vs. Northwest with the Under 8-1 L9 Knicks games on 1 Day Rest.

 

Utah Jazz

The Jazz (butter their bread by playing good Defense, and Utah (98.5 ppg allowed) is #1 in points allowed. Meaning Gordon Hayward (22.0), George Hill (17.2 ppg), Rudy Gobert, Rodney Hood and Derrick Favors not only score, but make it as hard as possible as for opponents to score and have Guards averaging 3.5 rpg. That’s commitment and energy.

The Jazz are 5-1 ATS L6 Wednesdays but 5-12 ATS L17 Following SU Loss. The Over is 6-2 L8 Jazz games on 1 day rest while the Under is 11-4 L15 Utah games following SU loss.

 

Series Mega-Trend Too Powerful to Ignore

Despite the Favorite being 8-3 ATS L11 in this series (Under 4-0 L4 in Utah) and the Knicks allowing so many points on the Road lately, expect a lower-scoring game here in the Beehive State in this nationally televised game as the Jazz won’t and can’t really get into a shootout here, even in SLC. So the 10½ points look large in a game in which the Jazz will be content just to win, as does the 10-1 ATS L11 and the 21-6 ATS L27 (77.8%) marks vs. Utah. Hoping for a competitive game taking the Knicks and the generous number of points against a Jazz team which has L3 straight is the NBA pick.

 

Predicted Final Score: Jazz 107 Knicks 100Free NBA Pick: Knicks +10½ -105 Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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