Welcome to another big night of NBA regular season action! It’s time for another huge slate of NBA betting and there are still several bits of news and injuries you need to be aware of before placing your bets!
It’s somewhat strange to see this early in the NBA season, but with the Warriors playing well, and a couple other contenders in the East and West looking strong out of the gate, there are some teams like the Cavaliers, Bulls, and Suns that are seemingly already packing it in.
Saturday’s Injury Report
Where do we begin today? There are so many star players coming into tonight’s games questionable that it’s hard to get a handle on what exactly to do with some of these NBA Odds.
We’ll start in Philadelphia with Joel Embiid. The star big man rolled his ankle in Friday’s practice. With the injury history and general cautiousness, the Sixers have shown in the past with their young stars during their rookie seasons, it would be surprising to see Embiid suit up for this one. If he is out, Ben Simmons should still be able to carry the team to a win. They face a Hornets team coming off a back-to-back and playing their third game in four nights on the road.
The Bulls have already begun their tanking, albeit it was because their star youngster is still out, and they are now without two more high profile players because of knee injuries. Kris Dunn and Bobby Portis are set to miss the next four to six weeks, and while Atlanta isn’t very good either, they could be a good bet against the banged up Bulls.
Kevin Love is also questionable coming into the Cavs’ Saturday contest. He missed Cleveland’s last game and with the Cavs going nowhere but the lottery this season, he might sit out again.
The next big group of injuries comes from the Suns, another team who may want to pick in the lottery one more time after this season. Both Deandre Ayton and Devin Booker are looking like they could miss. Booker was already ruled out on Friday, so with him probably sitting, the Suns are in trouble if Ayton is out as well.
Home Teams And Home Dogs
This will likely even up as the season wears on, but so far this season home teams, and especially home underdogs have been the recipe for cashing winning tickets. Home teams are 46-27 straight up (SU) and 40-32-1 (55.56%) ATS. Home underdogs have been even better. They are only 9-13 SU but 14-8 (63.64%) ATS.
Also, underdogs in general have been pretty attractive to start the season. With it being this early, only a few teams have already succumb to tanking. That and fresh legs for everyone makes this part of the season a little wild for favorites. While underdogs are only 23-50 SU, they are 38-34-1 ATS.Join SBR's Basketball Forum
Rajon Rondo Returns
Brandon Ingram will have to sit out one more game because of his role in the little boyish scuffle with the Rockets, but Mr. Spit Take himself, Rajon Rondo will be making his return for the Lakers tonight.
The Lakers have won two of the three games they played without Rondo, but even with this, the Lakers have been better so far this season with Rondo on the court.
It’s still very early, and this is only a handful of games worth of data, but the Lakers are better on both ends of the court with Rondo in the game.
According to Basketball Reference, the Lakers own a 123.2 offensive rating with Rondo on the court, compared to 118.3 with him off. LA is also allowing their opponents to post 121.8 points per 100 possessions with Rondo not in the game, compared to just 110.1 with Rondo on the court.
His presence tonight in many factors could weigh on the spread for this game. However, the Lakers are already in that precarious position of being a road favorite tonight, so I’m staying away. As we talked about earlier, road favorites are just 8-14 ATS to start the season.
Saturday NBA Betting Trends
- The Pacers are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 games against the Cavaliers
- The Blazers are 4-0 SU & ATS versus the Heat over the last three seasons
- The OVER is 6-2 over the last 8 games between the Lakers and Spurs
- The Bucks are 11-26 ATS in home games when playing against losing teams over the last 3 seasons
- The UNDER is 10-8 over the last 18 games between the Pacers and Cavaliers