Two Low Scoring Predictions To Fatten Your Wallet On Monday

Ross Benjamin

Monday, April 18, 2016 2:00 PM GMT

Our NBA handicapping professional has gone a stellar 3-0-1 during the first two days of playoff action on totals. Go inside before making any of your NBA picks on Monday.

Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder
Dallas has recently made a concerted effort to slow the pace of their games down to a virtual crawl. They’ve allowed their opponents just 77.1 field goal attempts per game during their previous ten outings, and also had an average of only 75 per contest themselves in its last five. The Mavericks have scored 91 points or less during five of their previous seven games. They’ve also gone under in each of their last seven when the total was 193.0 or more, and those contests stayed below the number by a substantial 24.9 points per game. Dallas shot a horrible 29.8% during their 108-70 loss in the series opener on Saturday.

Needless to say, Oklahoma City turned in a dominant performance during their 38 point blowout win over Dallas in Game 1. They’ve gone 7-0 under the total at home this season, following a win by 20 points or more in their previous game. Oklahoma City has also seen each of their previous six home games go under when the total is 200.0 to 209.0, and they allowed a paltry 85.5 points per game. Furthermore, the Thunder has gone under in each of their previous three games overall, allowed a meager 83.7 points per game, and held their opponents to a paltry 33.7% shooting.

Relative to the current total, I like this game to be a lower scoring affair, and one of my Monday NBA picks will reflect that prediction.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011083, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick:  Thunder Under 201½ -105
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

 

Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors
Golden State has gone 16-5 under the total in playoff games since 2015. Including the opening game of this playoff series, Golden State has faced Houston four times this season, held them to 97.5 points per game, and the Rockets shot a terrible 40.2%.

According to current NBA odds at Island Casino, the posted total in this contest is 218.0. Golden State has gone under the total by a combined 62.0 points during its previous five outings. That leads me to this NBA betting algorithm pertaining to the total. Any home team with a total of 210.0 or more that possesses a winning record, and has gone under the total by a combined 36.0 points or more in their last five outings, resulted in those games going 42-14 (75%) under the total during the past five seasons.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3011049, "sportsbooksIds":[93,1096,169,999996,180,139], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]
Free NBA Pick:  Rockers Under 218 -105
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline