Even though Saturday’s slate has only one game with NBA Odds for props, there are still some nice plays heading into tonight, so read on and make a buck on these exciting games!
Steven Adams O/U 16.5 points and rebounds
Steven Adams saw some important playing time for the Thunder in the last two games of the Mavericks series, and he did not disappoint. He even got 38 minutes of playing time in Game 5 of that series, and we even got to see some of Adams and Enes Kanter on the court at the same time. But, while Kanter is a much better offensive option and much better at scoring the ball, Adams isn’t bad, and he is just as good, if not a better rebounder than Kanter.
He is also a superior defender, so as long as the Thunder don’t fall behind early and are forced to play catch up, Adams should see another 28 or maybe even 30 minutes. Playing both he and Kanter on the court at the same time is going to happen some against this big Spurs team, and Adams is going to own his matchup against Tim Duncan.
Adams averaged 9.2 points and 7.6 rebounds in 28 minutes per game in the first round, and against the Spurs this regular season he had a game at the end of the season with 17 points and 9 rebounds. Even though he was underwhelming against them in some of their other games, he was still close to cashing the over on this prop even in limited minutes. I can almost guarantee that barring foul trouble or an early deficit, Adams won’t see less than 25 minutes in this one, and I see him grabbing seven or eight rebounds and cashing the over on this NBA Pick.
NBA Props Pick: Over 16½ -115
Best Line Offered: at Heritage
Tony Parker O/U 16.5 points and assists
Tony Parker is a tough person to play props with, because in the regular season you never know what Gregg Popovich is going to do with his minutes. Even in the first round, Parker never even got close to breaking 30 minutes in a game. However, they really didn’t need him to, and I suspect Popovich was being tactful with his veteran point guard. Tonight and in this series however, they are going to need Parker. Not only do they need him to run the offense, they need him to put pressure on Russell Westbrook.
While Parker likely won’t be guarding Westbrook, the Thunder point guard will be guarding him, and the only way to slow down Westbrook is to force him to defend. Parker play 37 minutes against the Thunder in the Spurs’ second to last regular season game, and he could see another 33 to 35 minutes in this one. While Patrick Mills has played well, I doubt he sees more than 20 minutes unless Parker is just extremely ineffective. That being said, I think the Spurs may be ready to unleash Parker, so a points and assists total of 16.5 on NBA Odds is simply too low for the hopefully 30 minutes he gets tonight.
NBA Props Pick: Over 16½ -125
Best Line Offered: at Bovada