Tuesday's Hottest Sports Picks & Tasty Trends Based on Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, March 31, 2015 5:01 PM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 31, 2015 5:01 PM GMT

In the NBA, this is a tough time to study the betting odds because teams which have locked up the postseason are resting players, which dramatically adjusts the sportsbooks numbers when announced.

Already today this has happened with Atlanta and Golden State. Thus we forge ahead and look into four other contests for NBA Picks in which there have been line moves of significance. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (460-410 L164D)

 

Indiana Pacers vs. Brooklyn Nets  7:35 ET  FS-IN, YES
Though Brooklyn is technically out of the playoffs at the moment, they have played two fewer games than Boston and actually have one fewer loss, which would catapult them over the Celtics if they keep winning. The Nets have won seven of 10 (7-2-1 ATS) and takes on fellow playoff- chaser Indiana who is 2-7 (3-6 ATS) and game behind Brooklyn in the loss column. Those delving into the NBA odds do not like this matchup for the Nets and have sent them from -3.5 to -1.5 home favorites. Brooklyn is 1-3 SU and ATS when the team from the Hoosier State has visited the past three years and in spite of some success of late, the Nets are 7-15 ATS as home favorites.

NBA Pick – Lean Indiana

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Miami FL vs. Temple  7:00 ET  ESPN
In the opener of the NIT semis, the Temple Owls have flown from underdogs to favorites on the NCAA basketball odds board. A part of the reason Temple has gone from +1 to -1 is they are the better defensive team, holding opposing teams to 39.4 percent shooting. In addition, the offense after being dormant most of the season has averaged 74.6 points a contest in their last nine victories. However, before you mark the Owls down as one of your NCAA basketball picks, only two of the wins were away from home and in their last six defeats, they have averaged 52.8 PPG, which is why on the season they shoot 39 percent. With the Hurricanes somehow winning at Richmond after trailing by 18 points and shooting 31.1 percent for the game, they are 13-2 ATS away after connecting on less than 33 percent of attempts. 

NCAA Basketball Pick – Lean Miami

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New Jersey Tech vs. Northern Arizona  9:00 ET  CBSSN
Remember back in early December when we all thought Michigan was still a good team and they lost at home to some New Jersey university with a bunch of letters 72-70 as 24-point favorites? Guess what, this is the same team and NJIT is in the semi-finals of the CIT tourney. As it played out, the Highlanders have been quite proficient in making three-pointers (9 per game) and in six lined contests; they are 6-0 ATS. Northern Arizona has come charging down the stretch at 14-3 and 13-3-1 ATS and is 12-2 at home (5-7 ATS) and has been altered from a -4.5 point home favorite to -6. The power ratings I use have the outcome anywhere from 4.9 to 5.5 in favor of the Lumberjacks, not providing any value. Nonetheless, I’ll side with them because this is NJIT’s second true road game since the beginning of February.

NCAA Basketball Pick – Lean Northern Arizona

 

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Toronto Raptors 7:35 ET  SUN, TSN4
If you follow the puck like I do as a NHL hockey handicapper, you might have noticed a number of bad teams this season have been winning games as underdogs in recent weeks. They are not winning the entire time mind you, but there has been a notable amount of +175 or higher underdogs coming in. With Tampa Bay two points away from being the best team in the Eastern Conference, they should pound up on Toronto who is 7-36 since the start of the new year. Yet, the Lightning are down 30 cents on the money line to -185 as the Maple Leafs attempt to win two games in a row for the second time since mid-December. While it might be fun to seek a big payday, Toronto is 0-12 against good teams outscoring their opponents by 0.3 or more goals a game in the second half of the season. Go ahead and add to your NHL picks the lightning.

NHL Pick – Tampa Bay wins

Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA Totals Trend
Indiana is 14-4 OVER in road games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls a game this season. 

NCAA Basketball ATS Trend
Evansville is 8-0 ATS after three straight games committing 14 or fewer turnovers this season. 

NHL Money Line Trend
Vancouver is 7-0 against teams allowing 2.55 or fewer goals a game in the second half of the season.

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