Tuesday's Finest Sports Picks & Top Betting Trends Based on Odds Movement

Doug Upstone

Tuesday, March 24, 2015 3:33 PM GMT

Tuesday, Mar. 24, 2015 3:33 PM GMT

With LaMarcus Aldridge listed as ‘doubtful’, those placing NBA picks have ridden the side and total hard on Golden State, with the Warriors up from -5.5 to -7 and the total up three points to 207.

This will not be the only line moves to follow today as we have uncovered four more to whet your appetite to joust with the sportsbooks. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (446-400 L158D)

 

Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks 8:05 ET  SUN, FS-WI
The blundering Bucks aren't in danger of dropping out of the playoff picture just yet, but they're heading in the wrong direction with the regular season winding down. Since trading for Michael Carter-Williams to be their starting point guard, Milwaukee has played just like last year’s pathetic squad and is 3-13 and 5-11 ATS since Feb. 22nd. Coach Jason Kidd keeps repeating they are a young team, however, when Brandon Knight was running the offense the Bucks were at 31-23 SU at one point. If you subtract the 127 points Milwaukee recently scored in triple OT, in the other 15 contests, they are averaging a paltry 91.4 points a game. Little wonder why those generating NBA picks have dumped the NBA odds total from 196 to 193.5. 

 NBA Pick – Play Under

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San Antonio Spurs vs. Dallas Mavericks 8:05 ET  TNT
If you have seen this movie before nod your head ‘yes’. With the playoffs coming swiftly, the Spurs are once again gathering momentum, with a recent surge that has given them a 10-2 and 9-3 ATS record. The Spurs are in the sixth spot in the Western Conference, but are just two games behind Houston who is currently third. The trade for Rojon Rondo has negatively impacted Dallas, who is 5-7 SU in their last dozen outings. Rondo’s presence has not helped his teammates and NBA basketball handicappers are quick to point out the Mavericks are on a 2-10 ATS downward spiral. The betting odds have tilted towards the Spurs who have gone from -1 to -3.5 point favorites on the posted NBA odds. This has the sense of an overreaction and off what coach Rick Carlisle called an “embarrassing” loss at Phoenix on Sunday, the Mavs are 10-0 ATS after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half.

NBA Pick – Dallas covers

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Miami-FL vs. Richmond  7:00 ET  ESPN
With the average score of a Richmond contest only 127.3 total points, the total on this NIT quarterfinal tilt is like bread in the oven, on the rise from 131.5 to 133 on the posted NCAA Basketball odds. Need answers why, here goes. On the season the Spiders are 16-6 OVER and being a two-point favorite, they are 8-3 OVER as a home favorite. With this intel, will Miami be a willing participant? The Hurricanes actually score more points on the road than at home (71.5 vs. 67.3) and concede five more points in the away uniforms, which is why they are 7-2-2 OVER in true roadies, so we're taking the Over with our NCAA Basketball picks

NCAA Basketball Pick – Play Over

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Montreal Canadiens vs. Nashville Predators 8:05 ET  RDS, FS-TN
With Montreal and Nashville both competing for the President’s Trophy, pucks bettors are laying their money down on the struggling home team with their NHL picks, versus the visitor who has turned hot again. The Predators are 3-9 SU in their last 12, yet have been taken from -125 to -140 on the money line posted NHL betting odds. Defensive breakdowns and a lack of offense have led to Nashville falling behind St. Louis in the Central Division. The Canadiens recently went through a rough patch themselves in dumping six of eight, but has righted the ship to win three in a row. Montreal won the earlier contest on home ice back in January 2-1; however, while the sample size is small, the Canadiens off consecutive shutouts are 0-5 in next contest after blanking the opposition twice in a row.

NHL Pick – Lean Nashville

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Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend
Golden State is 10-1 ATS after two straight wins by 15 points or more this season. 

NCAA Basketball Totals Trend
Vanderbilt is 9-1 OVER after a win by 10 points or more this season. 

NHL Money Line Trend
Vancouver is 5-14 having won two consecutive games this season.

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