Tuesday’s 2 Picks Both Lean 'Over'

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, October 24, 2017 3:52 PM UTC

Tuesday, Oct. 24, 2017 3:52 PM UTC

Welcome to our top 2 NBA Picks of the day for Tuesday! This capper is expecting plenty of points in Nets-Magic and Pelicans-Trail Blazers and makes his selections accordingly. 

Brooklyn Nets at Orlando Magic

Frank Vogel has never been a great coach, but he does make adjustments well when things aren’t going well. He did that in Indiana, and he is starting to do it in Orlando. With a young, athletic and fast team, Vogel has finally decided to join the 21st century and the Magic have thrived so far. They are playing as fast as almost any team in the league to start the season, and it’s having a big impact on their games, spread and totals.

The Magic have cashed the 'over' in two of their three games, and they are coming off a great win over the Cavaliers. Hopefully, there won’t be a letdown tonight, but this is definitely a trap game for the Magic. They play the Spurs on Friday, but if they overlook the Nets, things could get a little dicey.

The Nets have been playing fast under Kenny Atkinson since last season, but in 2017-18 they are playing at a blistering pace of 108.4 possessions per 48 minutes. This has led to their offensive rating sitting at 114.7 points per 100 possessions, which ranks 3rd in the league. The Magic surprisingly aren’t that far behind with an ORtg of 112.7, which ranks 5th in the NBA. With neither team playing any defense, and even with the total sky-high in this one, I expect a track meet more than a basketball game.

The 'over' has cashed in the last four meetings between these two teams, and in their last game against one another the final score was 126-121. This is before the Magic were playing faster, too, so tonight even with a super-high total, as long as there is no defense being played, and if the Magic relax some after their big win this one should be the highest-scoring game of the night.

Over the last three years, the 'over' is 5-3 between these two clubs, and with Elfrid Payton out again for the Magic they have no choice but to lessen their half court sets and run a lot of fast-paced offense.

Free NBA Pick: Over 229½Best Line Offered: Bookmaker

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New Orleans Pelicans at Portland Trail Blazers

Last year these two teams faced off four times and the home team was 3-1 ATS. Even though I am tempted to lay the points with the Blazers in their home opener, the frontcourt of Anthony Davis and DeMarcus Cousins is almost unstoppable and that could spell trouble for Jusuf Nurkic, the king of foul trouble.

If the Blazers can’t amass some rim protection and some interior defense, Cousins and Davis will drop 50 points between the two of them tonight. Nurkic isn’t a great defender anyway, and considering he is averaging 5.4 fouls per 36 minutes in his career, I’m not sold on his ability to stay on the court.

This is a big reason why I like the first-half total of 113. Last year in November these two played one another twice, and both times the first-half 'over' cashed with ease. As most teams do in their third or fourth meetings of the season, the scores went down a lot. However, early in the season when teams are still slightly unfamiliar with their current structures or offenses, higher scores usually follow.

Tonight shouldn’t be any different. The Pelicans are averaging 118 combined points with their opponents at halftime over the first three games, and in their last two the Pels have racked up 64 and 68 points by themselves at the half. The Blazers are also playing fast and loose in their first halves, averaging 59 points per in their first three contests. At 113, this first half total is a bargain for the 'over.'

Free NBA Pick: Over 113 First-Half PointsBest Line Offered: Pinnacle

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