Kings Can’t Guard Anyone So Bet ‘Over’ Tuesday at Nuggets

Monday, October 22, 2018 12:00 PM UTC

Monday, Oct. 22, 2018 12:00 PM UTC

The Sacramento Kings probably won’t be favored on the road all season, and they are sizable underdogs Tuesday night at the Denver Nuggets. Our pick is on the total, however.

Sacramento (1-2 SU, 2-1 ATS) at Denver (3-0 SU, 3-0 ATS)Tuesday, 9 p.m. ETFree NBA Pick: OverBest Line Offered: BetOnline

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It must suck to be a fan of the Sacramento Kings. At the start of this century, that franchise was arguably the most entertaining in the NBA with guys like Mike Bibby, Doug Christie, Vlade Divac (now the team’s GM), Peja Stojakovic and Chris Webber. The Kings were totally hosed by the referees in Game 7 of the 2002 West Finals against the Lakers, or I believe Sacramento not only wins that game but the NBA Finals.

That was a high-water mark for the Kings, who have since become a barren wasteland much like parts of Sacramento itself. The team hasn’t finished with a winning record or made the playoffs since 2005-06. It’s not going to come close to a winning record this year and maybe not even sniff 30 wins. The sad part is that the Kings don’t own their 2019 first-round pick – it goes to either Boston or Philadelphia depending on where it lands. So, the Kings can’t officially tank this season.

That’s not to say the Kings don’t have a few interesting players. Guys like Buddy Hield, De’Aaron Fox, Willie Cauley-Stein, Harry Giles and 2018 No. 2 overall pick Marvin Bagley III have some potential. Bagley was highest pick by the franchise since the team drafted Pervis Ellison with the top overall pick in the 1989 Draft. That was arguably the worst draft in history.

They conclude a three-game road trip – I’m trying to imagine a scenario where the Kings are road favorites this year; maybe in Atlanta? – on Tuesday night in Denver. Just a three-game NBA slate Tuesday. Denver is never an easy place to play due to the altitude, but especially so at the end of a road trip. The Kings are just 5-11 in Denver this decade after losing both last year.

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That winning feeling.#MileHighBasketball pic.twitter.com/njfUa1ZWF6

— Denver Nuggets (@nuggets) October 22, 2018
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Defense Optional for Sac-Town

Sacramento comes off a 131-120 upset of the Thunder in Oklahoma City on Sunday night in Russell Westbrook’s season debut. Iman Shumpert (?!) led the Kings with 26 points. Pretty sure they can’t count on that every night. Fox added 22 and 10 assists. That’s the good news. The bad is this team on defense as the 120 points allowed were actually a season low. Sacramento is surrendering an NBA-worst 130.7 points per game.

This could be a bit of a letdown game for the Nuggets, who upset the visiting Warriors on Sunday night, 100-98. Juancho Hernangomez blocked a tying layup attempt of 7-footer Damian Jones from behind just before the buzzer. Gary Harris had 28 points to lead Denver, whose 3-0 start is the franchise’s best since 2009-10.

Not too often an NBA team wins a game shooting 6-for-32 from deep and misses 18 free throws as the Nuggets did vs. Golden State. Denver is without swingman Will Barton as he strained his groin Saturday and is going to miss a while. Barton was averaging 16.5 points and 5.0 rebounds. He got a big extension this offseason. Torrey Craig got the start Sunday and had five points and nine rebounds in 27 minutes. Guard Isaiah Thomas has yet to make his Denver debut due to a hip injury.

  • Over is 6-2 in Kings last 8 vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Over is 5-2 in Nuggets last 7 Tuesday games.

While we’re sure Denver wins, it might be a bit flat and thus will take a pass on the side here. The best NBA pick is ‘over’. It’s 6-2 in the past eight meetings. I would keep hammering the ‘over’ on Sacramento games until the Kings prove they can play defense.

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