Triple XL Christmas Day NBA Parlay

Kevin Stott

Sunday, December 24, 2017 4:10 PM UTC

Sunday, Dec. 24, 2017 4:10 PM UTC

NBA Delivering 5 Games on Christmas Day Games Including 2016 NBA Finals Rematch. The NBA has five games on the Christmas Day docket this year, so let’s try our hands at the middle three matchups—the Cavaliers at the Warriors, the Wizards at the Celtics and the Rockets at the Thunder—and concoct a little 3-team chalky Holiday parlay for your consideration to go with your festivities

Opening Odds: GSW -7½ (BetOnline) — Current: GSW -6½ -115 — Total: 213½

Cavaliers at Warriors

It’s a rematch of the 2015 NBA Finals and the 2016 NBA Finals and possibly a glimpse as to what the 2017 NBA Finals will look like in the second NBA game on Christmas Day—the 76ers are at the Madison Square Garden to face the Knicks in the day’s opener (PHI -1, BetOnline; ESPN, 12 pm EST/9 am PST)—between LeBron James and the defending Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers (+535 to win 2018 NBA Championship, 5Dimes) and Kevin Durant and the defending NBA champion Warriors in Oakland and the league’s present to us, the fans. But will Stephen Curry play for Golden State (-165 to win 2018 NBA Championship, 5Dimes)? The Warriors All-Star sharp-shooting Guard is suffering from an Ankle injury and his status was still in doubt on Saturday. Last year when these two teams met on Christmas Day, the host Cavaliers rallied from a 14-point 4th Quarter deficit to defeat the Warriors, 109-108 (GSW -3½, 219½), getting the money in the process both SU and ATS and sending Golden State to a 3-3 SU record on December 25th and 1-5 ATS on Christmas.

The Trends here show Cleveland is 2-7 ATS L9 and 2-9 ATS L11 vs. the Pacific Division but Cleveland is 10-5 SU on the Road and 9-6 ATS—way better than the nightmarish 3-15-1 ATS mark Tristan Thompson and the Cavaliers (11-21 ATS) have at Home at Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland. The Cavaliers have gone 4-3 ATS on Christmas Day. An interesting Christmas Day Trend that pertains here: The Under is 18-5-1 in Interconference Christmas Day games (78.3%) and last season’s Cavs-Dubs Christmas Day game went Under by 2½ points and with the Cavaliers (17-8-1 ATS L26 Road) having played 6 straight Christmas Day Unders, the Total may be worth a look.

Also, defending NBA champions are a a green-draining 4-11-1 ATS on Christmas Day since 1999. Here, even without Curry possibly, the amount of scoring the Warriors (12-3 SU at Home) should get from Kevin Durant, Klay Thompson and Draymond Green should be the difference with Curry possibly playing and waiting for this game and just keeping quiet. You never know.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Warriors 106 Cavaliers 96

Lines Found at BetOnline (-110)
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Opening Odds: BOS -4½ (BetOnline) — Current: BOS -5½ — Total: 204

Wizards at Celtics

The Boston Celtics (26-9 SU, 21-12-2 ATS) have cooled some since their torrid start, but Kyrie Irving, Al Horford and Rookie sensation Jayson Tatum are still a good team to contemplate backing at the betting window with Head Coach Brad Stevens gambling by completely shaking up the nucleus of this team and looking like he won with Horford becoming the force the C’s desperately needed to build around in the middle, Irving getting that chance to be the go-to veteran guy on a team and out of LeBron James’s shadow and Tatum learning the ropes of professional basketball in beantown on a winning team that let’s him assume his glueish role. On Christmas Day, John Wall, Marcin Gortat and the floating Wizards (17-15 SU, 15-17 ATS) invade the commonwealth for an Eastern Conference showdown and a game which seems to offer the hosts at a fair price and a number which would have been a bit higher 6 weeks ago.

The Trends here show the Celtics are 3-4 SU and 4-3 ATS on Christmas and have played 4 Unders and 3 Overs during this span (Unders 4-1 L5) while The NBA Franchise Formerly Known As The Washington Bullets are 1-1 SU on December 25 and an unbeaten 2-0 ATS heading in here (0-1-1 Totals). With the Wizards 10-7 ATS on the Road but looking at the series Trends we see the Celtics have covered 3 straight vs. the wiz and the Home team has won at least 10 straight SU. And the five previous times the Celtics were favored over Washington in the Point Spread range (-5½, -4, -4, -5, -4, -5), Boston brought home the money all 6 times so it seems like a double-digit Home Win for the C’s after some struggling possibly in the 1st Half.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Celtics 103 Wizards 89

Lines Found at BetOnline (-110)
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Opening Odds: HOU -4 -110 (BetOnline) — Current: HOU -4 -115 — Total: 215

Rockets at Thunder

Fading Russell Westbrook, Carmelo Anthony, Paul George and the Thunder (16-15 SU, 11-21-0 ATS) has been profitable these last couple of months, with the Western Conference Midwest Division side going a depressing 4-13 ATS its L17 games (23.5%, even after an ATS Win in its last outing, 107-79 against the Jazz in Oklahoma City on Wednesday night, easily getting the money as 8-point Home Favorites (197). Before welcoming James Harden and Houston (2-5-1 ATS L8) to town for a Christmas Day for a Western Conference, Oklahoma City was at Vivint Smart Home Arena in Salt Lake City on Saturday night for a rematch with the Rudy Gobert-less Jazz in a game which saw Oklahoma City (30/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, YouWager) and Head Coach Billy Donovan facing a Utah side who were 2-7 SU in L9 games.

Last year on December 25 the Thunder beat the Timberwolves in their first-ever Christmas Day NBA dribble, 112-100 (OKC -4, 211½) while Harden and the Rockets (300/1 to win 2018 NBA Finals, 5Dimes) have gone a profitable 6-1 ATS on Christmas Day and with Houston playing so well—they just had a 16-game Win Streak snapped—and the Rockets (25-6 SU, 16-14 ATS) a profitable 12-3 ATS The L15 meetings in the series, backing the visitors over the Thunder (1-7 ATS L8 Home) is the prescription. Note: The Over is 51-25 the L76 Rockets games against teams from the Northwest Division while the Under is 14-5 the L19 OKC games on a Monday. Even with playmaking PG Chris Paul (Abductor Strain) nursing an Injury, backing the better team with the spotlight on them makes more sense than trusting the selfish Thunder who are 4-4 SU/ATS on Christmas (3-5 O/U) but on a 4-2 ATS run in their L6.

PREDICTED FINAL SCORE: Rockets 117 Thunder 108

CHRISTMAS DAY PARLAY LEG 3 PICK: Rockets -4 Lines Found at BetOnline (-110)
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NBA CHRISTMAS DAY 3-TEAM HOLIDAY HOOPS PARLAY: Warriors -6½ -115/Celtics -5/Rockets -4 -115 (BetOnline)

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