Monday's Top Expert NBA Picks: Low Scores in the Forecast

Sportsbook Review

Last Updated: November 29, 2021 10:39 AM EST • 3 min 14 sec read. Twitter link Google News Link

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Read below for our top NBA expert picks for Monday's NBA action.

The experts at Sportsbook Review give their top against the spread and Over/Under picks for Monday's nine-game NBA schedule (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook).

Top Expert NBA Picks

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Top Expert NBA ATS Picks

Timberwolves -2.5 (-110)

There are three frontcourt players listed as questionable for this game. Minnesota Timberwolves PFs Jarred Vanderbilt and Jaden McDaniels are dealing with an illness, and so is Indiana Pacers C Myles Turner. The latter is an extremely important piece of a paint defense that has been very good and the main reason for the Pacers' moderate success.

Without Turner, this game has the potential to turn ugly for Indiana. T-Wolves C Karl-Anthony Towns, SG Anthony Edwards, and a bevy of talented offensive players should be able to score around the rim with ease, and that should set things up nicely for one of the league's top 10 defenses over the last five games. - Ducey

Rockets -2.5 (-105)

For a while there, it looked like the Houston Rockets might threaten the NBA single-season record for losses of 73 by the 1972-73 Philadelphia 76ers. However, Houston has knocked off back-to-back good teams in the Chicago Bulls and Charlotte Hornets despite playing without rookie second-overall pick SG Jalen Green.

He left last Wednesday’s game against the Bulls due to a hamstring injury and will not play on Monday. Green might be a star one day, but Houston may be better for now without him. Green was shooting just 38.2% overall and 27.8% from deep. PG Kevin Porter Jr. has become the No. 1 offensive threat with Green out, averaging 18.5 points, 10.5 assists and 7.0 rebounds over the last two games.

The Thunder enter on a five-game skid and were obliterated in Houston on Oct. 22. - Jordan

Wizards -2.5 (-115)

The San Antonio Spurs come into Monday fresh off of stopping a six-game slide Friday night as they defeated the Boston Celtics at home, by holding them to just 88 points. It’s worth noting, as has been a problem for this Spurs team, they put up just 96 points in the win, following a pattern of having a complete lack of elite scorers.

The visiting Washington Wizards, led by SG Bradley Beal and his 23.3 points per game, come in as winners of three of their last five games, and seem very much like real contenders in the Eastern Conference. Having beat the Dallas Mavericks as 6-point underdogs on Saturday, I like the Wiz again against a young and seemingly lost Spurs team. – Covers

Top Expert NBA O/U Picks

Pelicans-Clippers Under 210.5 (-110)

The New Orleans Pelicans may have one of the worst defenses in basketball, but they rank 18th in efficiency on that end over the last 10 games. It seems to indicate this game could be kept Under the total. Mix in an offense that has struggled, scoring the 10th-fewest points per 100 possession in that same span facing one of the league's premier defenses and you've got yourself some trouble on the offensive end.

These two teams played a low-scoring game last time out because of poor shooting by the Los Angeles Clippers and some great post play by Pelicans C Jonas Valanciunas. He should struggle on Monday with a reinforced frontcourt led by C Serge Ibaka and PF Marcus Morris making life tough on the Pelicans center, while the Clippers kill the clock with their incredibly slow pace and find high-percentage looks against a weak defense. - Ducey

Nuggets-Heat Under 207.5 points (-115)

I’m having to make this pick based partly on speculation – that Denver Nuggets superstar C Nikola Jokic doesn’t play. The reigning league MVP hasn’t played since Nov. 18 due to a wrist injury and is listed as questionable.

Denver has lost six games in a row and is averaging just 100.6 points in that stretch. The Nuggets are 26th in the league in scoring at 102.8 PPG for the season. The Miami Heat, meanwhile, rank No. 2 in scoring defense (102.5 PPG) and Denver sixth (103.5 PPG). When these teams played on Nov. 8 in the Mile High City, the Nuggets won 113-96, but Jokic was healthy. Heat SF Jimmy Butler (tailbone) had 31 points for Miami, and he's questionable for Monday, as is early Sixth Man of the Year favorite SG Tyler Herro (illness). - Jordan

Thunder-Rockets Under 215.5 (-110)

We took this exact Under 12 days ago at a full point lower. It cashed with ease as both teams (as expected) failed to generate any kind of offense. Monday, the Rockets come in off of two of their best performances of the season, scoring 118 and 146 points in their first two-game win streak of the season.

Unfortunately for over speculators, the Thunder still rank 29th in the league in field goal percentage (41.0%), 3-point percentage (31.3%), and points per game (99.0). I like for the Rockets offense to regress back to the mean on Monday, and for Thunder to stay below 100 points yet again. - Covers

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