Top NBA Picks of the Day: Celtics vs. Bucks & Blazers vs. Mavs

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, February 7, 2015 3:10 PM GMT

Saturday, Feb. 7, 2015 3:10 PM GMT

We have a nice Saturday of NBA Odds ahead of us tonight, and after a big Friday let’s see if we can once again take our NBA Picks to the bank. I have found two more plays that look like great value this evening!

Celtics vs. Bucks
The Celtics and Bucks are both coming off games last night, and now they face one another in Milwaukee this evening, with the NBA odds favoring the Bucks at -6 with a total of 195 ½. Coming off the game last night, and right before the All Star Break, both of these teams are likely going to be tired from the long season so far, but even though both will have some dead legs, and even though we don’t know the injury status of the Bucks frontcourt, I think Milwaukee is the play here ATS.

The Celtics have been good against bad teams this season, but they haven’t been as good against teams with records above .500. They scored 107 points against the Sixers last night, but against the defense of the Bucks, I doubt they get past 95 tonight. The Bucks are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games, and they are 11-6 ATS this season playing as a favorite.

The Bucks have also been very good following an ATS loss. They stayed close with the Rockets yesterday in Houston, but they couldn’t finish against James Harden. However following an ATS loss, the Bucks are 23-7-1 ATS, and they are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against a team with a winning percentage below 40%. Lay the points tonight with your NBA picks.

NBA Pick: Bucks -6 at The Greek

 

Blazers vs. Mavs
Another late game for this evening is the Blazers heading into Dallas to play the Mavs, and the NBA Odds have the Mavs as -2 ½ favorites in this one, but the line I’m a little more intrigued by is the total of 206. Neither team played last night, which should play to the advantage of both teams. Dirk Nowitzki got the night off on Thursday as, so he should be well rested and have plenty of offense against the Blazers.

This is why I really like the over tonight. The over has cashed in the Blazers’ last four games against teams with winning percentages above 60%, and the over is 21-6 for Portland as road dogs between +1 and +4 ½. On top of that, the over is 6-1 for the Blazers in their last seven road games against winning home teams, and the over is 6-1 in their last seven as road dogs.

While the Mavs have been slumping some offensively, being at home with a rested Dirk should help a lot. They have cashed the under in five of their last six games, but they are 2-1-1 cashing the over in their last four games against winning Western Conference  teams. Portland is 6-5 cashing the over in their last 11 games, and I see them putting up a big score tonight against a Mavs’ defense that has given up over 101 points per game this year. Take the over.

NBA Pick: OVER 206 at 5Dimes

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