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Wednesday's Top Expert NBA Picks

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Wednesday's Top Expert NBA Picks
Tyler Herro #14 of the Miami Heat reacts in the second half while playing the Detroit Pistons. Photo by: Gregory Shamus/Getty Images via AFP.

Check out our top NBA expert picks for Wednesday’s 13-game slate.

Our basketball experts select their top against the spread and Over/Under picks for Wednesday’s schedule of NBA games (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook).

Top Expert NBA Picks

SEE ALSO: Top NBA Parlay Picks and NBA Prop Picks

Top Expert NBA ATS Picks

Trail Blazers -1.5 (-115)

The Sacramento Kings still rank 25th in defensive efficiency this season, and while head coach Luke Walton's departure should do wonders for the makeup of this team on both ends of the floor, we've yet to see that in just one game.

Sacramento is still getting nothing from SG Buddy Hield (with the exception of some sporadic performances) and PF Harrison Barnes has slipped into a deep shooting slump.

Portland's ability to score at the guard position and on the wings — where PF Larry Nance Jr., can exploit this second unit as a small-ball five — should give it the victory. I'm also in love with C Jusuf Nurkic limiting the Kings' ability to control this game on the glass. - Ducey

Heat -1 (-105)

As of this writing, no key Miami players are in question as to their availability for Wednesday night. SG Duncan Robinson and C Bam Adebayo were both a bit in question for Tuesday night’s game in Detroit, but they played and the Heat rallied to win 100-92 by outscoring the Pistons 27-6 in the first 8:17 of the fourth quarter.

So, yeah, Miami is in the second half of a back-to-back … but it has covered the spread in seven straight games in that scenario. The Timberwolves enter on a four-game winning streak but all were against much lesser competition than the Heat. The Wolves are 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games as home favorites. - Jordan

Magic +7 (-105)

There are few young teams in the league with a more impressive start to the season than the Charlotte Hornets, who have beaten not only the Western Conference-leading Golden State Warriors, but the Washington Wizards now twice in four days. In Monday’s most recent 109-103 win over the Wizards, G Terry Rozier had a season-high 32 points on a night he couldn’t miss.

For the host Orlando Magic, stopping a three-game slide will be top of mind on Wednesday, as the Magic went on the road to play the Atlanta Hawks, followed by both New York teams, and most recently a back-to-back series against the Milwaukee Bucks. Losing four of five games, they return home and get PG Cole Anthony back from a sprained ankle, which I think gives them the spark they need to cover the big number.

I see the Magic’s shooting, which has been abysmal over the last four games, regressing back to the mean on Wednesday. - Covers

Top Expert NBA O/U Picks

Jazz-Thunder Under 207.5 (-105)

While this total is low, we need to consider a few things. Oklahoma City is missing G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, which will make scoring incredibly difficult. It also won't have much fun trying to score on a defense that ranks seventh in the Association.

The Jazz also rank 15th in pace, and should be the ones controlling the tempo on Wednesday with OKC presumably falling behind early. I just see no way the Thunder can score at the rack and survive without Gilgeous-Alexander on the offensive end. This should be a blowout and one that is slow and agonizing. - Ducey

76ers-Warriors Under 216.5 (-110)

Philadelphia wraps up a six-game road trip and will for sure remain without PF Joel Embiid and PG Ben Simmons. The 76ers could also be without fellow starters SF Tobias Harris, G Seth Curry and SG Danny Green, as all are questionable after they missed Monday’s upset win in Sacramento.

That’s potentially a ton of points missing against a Warriors team leading the NBA in scoring defense (101.1 points per game) and opponent field goal percentage (.420), tied for second in steals (9.8), and fifth in opponent 3-point field goal percentage (.321).

The Under is 8-2 in Philly’s last 10 games vs. teams with a winning record. It’s 11-5 in Golden State’s last 16 games overall. - Jordan

Jazz-Thunder Under 207.5 (-105)

With only three players, SF Luguentz Dort, Gilgeous-Alexander, and SG Josh Giddey, averaging more than 10 points per game; the Thunder just can’t buy a bucket this season. Coming into Wednesday in the bottom two of the league in 3-point percentage, field goal percentage, and points per game, the only fear of the Over is the Jazz going scorched earth.

However, Utah is 4-0 to the Under in its last four games against teams with a winning percentage of 40% or worse. In a game I think is closer than many are projecting on the road in Oklahoma City, I like for this one to stay Under the posted total. - Covers

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