Top NBA Picks & Bets for Monday's Action

Jordan Sharp

Monday, November 18, 2013 3:27 PM GMT

Monday, Nov. 18, 2013 3:27 PM GMT

It’s the start of the 4th week of the NBA season, and so far this season, I have been killing it in my NBA Picks. I have cashed 10 of my last 13 NBA Picks, and I am back once again this week to try and get another two winners.

Sixers vs. Mavs

Philadelphia will once again be without their phenom rookie, Michael Carter-Williams, as he tries to get back from a foot injury. With that in mind, the NBA Odds have the Mavs as -12 favorites tonight against the Sixers, with a large total of 214 ½. While the spread is inviting, (I am still not sold that the Mavs are as good as they have shown) I am looking at placing my NBA picks on the total, as I love the value that it is presenting.

At 214 ½, it’s going to be very hard to eclipse this total. Without MCW, the Sixers’ offense has struggled some, and Saturday was a great example. Against a struggling Pelicans team, the Sixers got blown out, and were only able to muster up 98 (66 points through 3 quarters) points on the road. Although the Mavs are not as good defensively as the Pelicans, they can still put up enough effort here to cash the under for NBA betting enthusiast

Seven of the last ten times these two teams have met up, the total has gone under. On top of that, the under has gone 6-2 in the last eight meetings between these two teams in Dallas. I think this total is a bit inflated because of the offensive starts for these two teams, but here on Monday night, I am going with the under.

My Pick: ‘Under’ 214 ½ at Heritage

[gameodds]5/247693/?r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]

Grizzlies vs. Clippers

These two teams are very different from the ones who have been giving us stellar games these past few seasons, but they still have enough of the same moving parts to tell me that the Grizzlies are undervalued here. At +8 underdogs in the NBA Odds, I think Memphis has excellent sports betting value tonight, despite playing yesterday.

The Grizzlies won in Sacramento, 97-86 over the Kings Sunday afternoon. They were up by 20 points at one point in the game, and even though the end of the game was a little concerning, they still won by double figures despite the Kings’ bench players making a come back.

The Clippers are a great team, but they better hope they don’t run up against the Grizzlies in a playoff scenario. Memphis is a bad matchup for the Clippers there and here, as they are at their best defensively where the Clippers are best offensively. Zach Randolph and Marc Gasol can slow down Deandre Jordan and Blake Griffin, while Mike Conley is good enough to at the very least not let Chris Paul go off. Tony Allen will also likely lock up JJ Reddick. 

The Grizz have covered their last five games against the Clippers, but all five of those games were last season in the first round of the playoffs. LA is much better than they were a year ago, but the Grizzlies aren’t much worse either. They still provide mismatches all over the floor for Doc Rivers’ Clippers, and while I do see LA winning, I don’t think it will be by more than a couple of possessions. 

My Pick: Grizzlies +8 ½ at BetOnline 

[gameodds]5/247695/?r-1=19-43-349/us[/gameodds]
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