Top NBA Picks ATS For Wednesday's Playoff Games

Matthew Jordan

Tuesday, May 12, 2015 10:16 PM UTC

Tuesday, May. 12, 2015 10:16 PM UTC

While the first round of the NBA playoffs were a bore other than Spurs-Clippers, Round 2 has been terrific and neither playoff series on Wednesday night will end in Game 5 as the two home teams look to take a 3-2 edge. My ATS picks with odds from 5Dimes.

Washington vs. Atlanta (-8.5)
This line obviously would be greatly affected should Wizards All-Star point guard John Wall play for the first time since Game 1. No one seems to think he will with those five non-displaced fractures in his left hand and wrist. He certainly had quite the suit on for Game 4. According to the Washington Post, Wall was spotted doing some shooting work during Tuesday's practice. Wall had his left hand taped, but the swelling is now minimal, according to head coach Randy Wittman. Wall apparently was even doing some dribbling with that hand. Wall is listed as questionable again and will be a game-time call but it would be a surprise if he plays. Ramon Sessions played pretty well in Wall's place in Game 2 but he was just 2-for-10 from the field in the Game 3 last-second win (thank you Paul Pierce!) and then 5-for-14 in the Game 4 106-101 defeat.

Perhaps worse news for Washington was that Hawks All-Star point guard Jeff Teague finally played like an All-Star in Game 4. He was probably the best Atlanta player with 26 points, eight assists, four rebounds and two steals. He's going to get the better of Sessions, it's just a matter of how much so and if the other Washington players can step up enough to neutralize that advantage a bit. For example, Bradley Beal might have to have another monster game to steal this one on the road. He had 34 points in Game 4 along with seven assists and six rebounds in maybe his best game yet as a pro. Pierce added 22 but Marcin Gortat was invisible with three points in 31 minutes. I'd say every Wizards starter has to get double-figure points for the upset.

Free NBA Pick: Take Washington +8 at The Greek -- if Wall can play even a few minutes that would be an emotional lift. The Wizards have covered five straight after a loss and the Hawks just one of their past six following a win.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2840161, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]


Memphis vs. Golden State (-10)
In many ways, this is the easiest conference semifinal series to handicap. Whichever plays better between the Golden State backcourt of NBA MVP Steph Curry and Klay Thompson or the Memphis frontcourt of Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph is going to win the game. It's really that simple as those are the clear strengths of each club. In their Game 2-3 wins, the Grizzlies big guys were the better duo as Curry and Thompson struggled. In the Warriors' Game 4 101-84 victory, Curry left no doubt who the best player on the floor was with 21 first-half points as the Warriors took a 17-point lead and were never threatened. Curry finished with a series-high 33 points. Curry has scored at least 30 points nine times in his postseason career and four times this postseason.

Golden State clearly played with more urgency, according to Coach Steve Kerr, in avoiding its first three-game losing streak of the season. The Warriors were a solid 14-for-33 from 3-point range. They were 8-for-17 on "wide open" 3-pointers compared to hitting just 22 percent of such long-range shots in the two losses. Overall, Golden State was just 6-for-26 from long range in Games 2 & 3. The Warriors are now 51-0 this season when leading at any point in a game by 15 points. That's impressive. I believe that the facial fractures and injured toe/foot finally caught up to Grizzlies point guard Mike Conley, the team's heart-and-soul. The Grizzlies overcame his shooting struggles in Game 3 but Conley was only 4-for-15 from the field in Game 4 with three turnovers. Memphis shot only 37.5 percent from the field and isn't going to beat the Warriors under 40 percent even as good as the Grizzlies are on defense.

Free NBA Pick:  I'm taking the points with my NBA picks at BetOnline although I fully expect a Golden State victory. The Grizzlies have covered six straight against the NBA odds after a loss and seven of their past nine in Oakland. The Warriors have covered only two of their past 10 following a win.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":2839638, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,19,43,227,999996,93,238,123,139], "LineTypeId":5, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

comment here