Thursday's Top Sport Picks, Tasty Trends and Betting Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Thursday, February 5, 2015 6:24 PM GMT

Thursday, Feb. 5, 2015 6:24 PM GMT

For tonight on the betting odds board, we have a pair of NBA totals rising faster than the heat on NBC anchorman Brian Williams, along with college basketball contests and an NHL game.

L.A. Clippers vs. Cleveland Cavaliers  8:05 ET  TNT
The Cavaliers have won 11 in a row (9-2 ATS) despite the fact Kevin Love is shooting 37.2 percent - 29.4 from 3-point range – from the field in the last 10. With the Clippers 20th in points allowed on the road, those placing sports picks think Love can break out of shooting slump or at least his teammates will cover for him and elevated total two points to 208. This is a curious move as Los Angeles is 5-1 UNDER in their last six games and Cleveland is 6-0 UNDER. Going against the public with the Cavs 17-5 UNDER when playing six or more games in 10 days this season. 

NBA Pick – Play Under at 5Dimes

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Phoenix Suns vs. Portland Trailblazers  10:35 ET  TNT
The Suns are 6-2 and 7-1 ATS versus Portland which includes being 4-0 ATS at the Moda Center, but those making NBA picks are more fascinated with the total and sent it from 210 to 212. That would lead me to believe the sportsbooks adjustment upward signifies hoops bettors are convinced Phoenix will dictate the tempo as the average total score of Portland’s last five outings has been 196.8. Here is the same angle with different results for each team. When the Suns face a team which as 83 or more attempts per contest, they are 16-5 OVER. When the Trail Blazers face the very same opponent which hoists up that many attempts, they are 14-5 UNDER.  

NBA Pick – Lean Under at The Greek

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Richmond vs. La Salle  6:30 ET  NBCSN
Richmond is 5-2 and 7-0 ATS in recent A-10 matchups, with two three-point road losses. That is why I find it a bit puzzling the Spiders have gone from -1 to +1.5 at LaSalle, who is 7-3 and 2-3 ATS at home this season. Richmond’s defense has weaved a web to stifle opposing teams, holding them to under 42 percent in five of their last six games, while the Explorers connect on only 42.1 percent on the year. Given the spread, as a college basketball handicapper I have to consider all situations and the Spiders are just 2-7 SU on the road this year, nonetheless, if they can win at VCU, they can emerge victorious at LaSalle, so back them with your NCAA basketball picks.

NCAA Basketball Pick – Richmond  +2 at BetOnline

 

Washington State vs. Oregon State 10:00 ET  PAC12N (side and total)
Today I was on Yahoo Sports radio talking about the Pac-12 and these two teams were part of the discussion. Washington State is 12-3 OVER, while Oregon State is 12-4 UNDER and money is following the Beavers, down from 129.5 to 125.5 on our NCAA basketball odds. Oregon State is 12-0 and 10-1 ATS in Corvallis, yet their up and down offense has made bettors nervous and the Cougars have been dropped from +9.5 to +7.5. Once again I’ll go against the masses and take the other sides.

NCAA Basketball Pick – Oregon State covers and Over at BookMaker

 

Detroit Red Wings vs. Colorado Avalanche  9:05 ET  NBCSN
The surging Red Wings try to stay hot against the Colorado Avalanche, having won six of seven. Pucks bettors have drastically altered the NHL odds in this confrontation of what used to be bitter rivals, changing Detroit from +105 underdogs to -120 money line favorites. The Red Wings have been winning without regular netminder Jimmy Howard, out with a lower-body injury; however, Petr Mrazek has been more than capable between the pipes. Detroit’s power play has connected on better than 30 percent of their last 23 chances and when Pavel Datsyuk registers at least one point, the Red Wings are 17-4-4.

NHL Pick – Detroit wins 

Check Out Our Free NHL Picks for Thursday

 

Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend
The L.A. Clippers are 12-2 ATS in road games off a road loss the last two seasons. 

NCAA Basketball ATS Trend
Mid. Tenn. State is 15-1 ATS as a home favorite of 12.5 or more points the last three seasons. 

NHL Money Line Trend
The N.Y. Islanders are 16-2 vs. division opponents this season.

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