Thursday's Hottest Sports Picks & Tasty Trends Based Odds Movements

Doug Upstone

Thursday, April 2, 2015 4:35 PM GMT

Thursday, Apr. 2, 2015 4:35 PM GMT

Slim pickings for Thursday and almost had to include the Heat and Cavaliers for line moves against the NBA odds which is being driven by Kyrie Irving and Kevin Love injuries, not wagering preferences. 

We still did find four events on the big board in which those placing sports picks disagreed with the sportsbooks. Like we say every day, understanding line moves can build your bankroll. (460-410 L164D)

 

Houston Rockets vs. Dallas Mavericks 8:35 ET  ROOT-SW, FSN-SW
Having lost four of five, Dallas got a much needed win at Oklahoma City last night, to open up a four game lead with seven to play to all but secure the seventh playoff spot in the West. When you think of the Mavericks and Rockets, the first thought which would pop into most NBA basketball handicappers heads is offense, with the No. 3 and No. 7 scoring teams respectively in the league. With this information, the totals have gone up from 208.5 to 211 on the posted NBA odds, but tap the brakes before making this a NBA pick. The previous three meetings have all ended in Under’s and Houston has only scored more than 100 points once in their previous seven away outings. While points could be plentiful, I would not bet on it.

NBA Pick – Lean Under

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Northern Arizona vs. Evansville 7:00 ET  CBSSN
It’s is the CIT championship and it is the first-ever meeting between these schools. Evansville was awarded the home game in this tourney and has shot lights out offensively, connecting on at least 50 percent in all four victories and covering the past three. Northern Arizona might not have ever been to Evansville, IN, but playing on the road has not been an issue, with a 2-0 SU and ATS record in this event and an alarming 12-3 ATS mark for the season versus the betting odds in true road encounters. Those generating NCAA Basketball picks are siding with the home team from the better conference and moved the Purple Aces from -7 to -8. We will choose to disagree and note the Lumberjacks are 10-3 ATS against winning teams this year. 

NCAA Basketball Pick – Lean NAU

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Calgary Flames vs. St. Louis Blues  8:05 ET  SN-W, FSN-MW
Trying to lock up a playoff spot has not coming easy to St. Louis, who has lost five of six, including the past two on home ice, being outscored 8-3. After losing at Minnesota to start the five-game road trip, Calgary has picked off W’s at Nashville and Dallas, being downright offensive, lighting the lamp five times each at both locales. These factors have influenced puck players to lower the Blues from -165 to -150 on the money line posted on the NHL betting odds. Nonetheless, if St. Louis is going to play better, this would seem be the right foe, having won three straight over the Flames (combined score of 13-1) and taken all of the last five at home. 

NHL Pick – St. Louis wins

 

Vancouver Canucks vs. Chicago Blackhawks  8:35 ET  SN-PAC,  CSN-C
The Vancouver offense has been in harmony, tallying at least three goals in eight of their past 10 contests. Chicago has been more inconsistent, yet has scored four times in each of its last two games. The total opened at Un5.5 (-115) and has kept heading in the same direction, now up to -130 at 5.5. Anytime the Blackhawks have won two straight, they are 13-2 UNDER and the Canucks might be burying the puck in the net, yet are 13-5 UNDER on the road after a trio of tilts registering three or more goals. Take the 'Under' with your NHL picks.

NHL Pick – Lean Under

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Sportsbook Review Tasty Trends

NBA ATS Trend
Golden State is 13-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points this season. 

NCAA Basketball Totals Trend
Evansville is 11-2 OVER in last 13 postseason tournament games.

NHL Money Line Trend
Ottawa is 3-13 facing offenses that average three or more goals a game this season.

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