Three Value NBA Picks for Friday's Betting Ticket

Jordan Sharp

Friday, November 21, 2014 1:54 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 21, 2014 1:54 PM UTC

It’s another big day of NBA action here on a Friday night, and with so many games to choose from, I have three NBA picks for today that have some great value. After hitting my NBA odds parlay last night, hopefully you tailed and your bankroll is healthy for tonight. 

Suns vs. Sixers
The Phoenix Suns head into automatic win town tonight to play the Sixers, and the NBA odds have the Suns as big -9 ½ favorites, with a total of 206 ½. However instead of a play on the spread, I am going with the total, which has actually dropped a point and a half since it opened. With the Philly defense in shambles, and the Suns not playing that well on the defensive end, the shrunken total is giving us some nice value for the over tonight. The Suns will easily score 105 to 110 points tonight with all of their guard depth, and while the rebounding and paint battle might be a different story, it will still lead to higher scores tonight.

The over is 3-1-1 in the Sixers last five games against a team with a winning record. For the Suns, the over is 7-3 in their last ten games overall, and it’s 4-1 in their last five games following an ATS loss.

NBA Pick: OVER 206 ½ at 5Dimes

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Bucks vs. Raptors
One of the pleasant surprises this NBA season is the Milwaukee Bucks, who under Jason Kidd have not only been better on offense, but on the defensive end as well. Now heading into Toronto to play the Raptors, this is a going to be a close game. However the NBA odds aren’t reflecting that, with a spread of -8 ½ in favor of the Raptors and a total of 198, it seems like the sportsbooks might have this one wrong. However on the young season, the Bucks may be an anomaly, however their defense is still good. They are young and athletic and against a slower and undersized Raptors team in some areas, the Bucks may be able to hold them down.

This is being reflected in the total. It has dropped four full points since it opened last night, but even with the deep line movement, I still think the under is the play here. The under is 7-2 for the Bucks in their last nine overall games, and the under is 4-1 in Milwaukee’s last five games. Follow the trends and bet the under.

NBA Pick: UNDER 200 at The Greek

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Cavaliers vs. Wizards
The big Eastern Conference showdown tonight is in the nation’s capitol with the Wizards taking on the Cavs. The NBA odds have the Cavs as -1 ½ road favorites here, with a total between 204 and 205 depending on the sportsbook. However while I’ve gone with totals for the first two NBA picks, the spread is my favorite play for this one, and I am all over the home team.

The Cavs have been shaky on defense this season, and with the return of Bradley Beal for the Wizards, it’s going to be even more difficult for the Cavs to slow down all the weapons for the Wizards. Plus, Kevin Love has not been playing very well recently, and against the bigs for Washington, that’s not going to serve the Cavs well. Washington is 24-10-1 ATS in their last 35 games as a home underdog, and with Cleveland struggling early, go with the Wiz.

NBA Pick: Wizards +1 ½ at BetOnline

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