NBA playoffs begin this weekend and SBR's has all the games covered with valuable free NBA picks, but before you place your wagers there are some things you need to know.
Televised events tend to draw in more public betting action, and this influx of public bets is most evident for March Madness and the NBA Playoffs. With sportsbooks taking more than twice the amount of regular bets for the playoffs, compared to the regular season, NBA lines quickly become the most hit target on the odds boards in April.
While the public is not always on the wrong side of the line, the NBA Playoffs do give you a prime season to fade the public wagers, and statistics prove this to be a more profitable approach than doing so in the regular season.
Futures vs. Series Performance
While most sportscasters are busy debating which teams have the best chance of cutting down the nets, sharp bettors are likely taking another approach.
While futures betting has continued to grow in popularity, it does require you to tie up your bankroll for a set amount of time, and often times the value is much lesser than if you were to back your selected team throughout their individual matchups.
In order to hoist the Larry O’Brien Trophy, a team must win four series in a minimum of 16 games out of a maximum 28 matchups. This alone means that you have plenty of chances to bet both Series Price odds and individual games, all while building your bankroll along the way.
Even betting your selected team to come out on top in each series and rolling over your winnings to the next series tends to yield a larger prize than an early futures bet. This does not always hold true for some of the playoff longshots, but should your selected team get knocked off in a series upset, you still have time to look for more value across the board.
If you are looking for series prices and futures odds, line shopping is a must. At the time of writing, 5Dimes is hanging the Spurs at +1050 to win the title, while YouWager has them listed at +700. If you were looking to place a $100 wager on Pop and Co. to clinch another NBA Title, 5Dimes would pay out $350 more should your ticket cash.
If you are looking further down the board at a team like the Thunder, the difference between 5Dimes & BetOnlines’ offerings would equate to $14500.
Expect the gaps to tighten as you move down to series price options and individual games. However, as mentioned above, many small bets placed at the right place and time will yield larger returns in the end.
Don’t force yourself to take the -5.5 if another book is hanging -5 simply because you don’t have the time to shop. Prepare yourself for the marathon that is the NBA Playoffs by shopping for lines early and setting yourself up to use lines from a variety of sources.