Pacers Are Not Really Keeping It 'Under' Wraps

Thursday, April 4, 2019 6:47 PM UTC

Thursday, Apr. 4, 2019 6:47 PM UTC

The Boston Celtics opened as a pick’em on the NBA odds board for Friday’s road game against the Indiana Pacers. But the ‘under’ is the right play now.

<p style="text-align:right"><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Apr. 4: 24-26-1 ATS, 0-4 ML (minus-9.35 units), 33-18 Totals</em></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Boston (47-32 SU, 37-41-1 ATS) at Indiana (47-32 SU, 40-39 ATS)</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Friday, 8:00 p.m. ET, ESPN</strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Free NBA Pick: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/boston-celtics-vs-indiana-pacers-3569218/odds/" target="_blank">Under</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center"><strong>Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4423&amp;book=BetOnline" target="_blank">BetOnLine</a></strong></p><p style="text-align:center">[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569218, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,999991,999996,19,169], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>You have to be on your toes when you make your <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/">NBA picks</a>. We waited all morning for Friday’s matchup between the Boston Celtics and Indiana Pacers to hit the odds board, and when it finally did, we had ourselves some value: Boston opened as a pick’em, while the projections at FiveThirtyEight had the Celtics at –2. All good things come to those who wait.<br /><br />Yeah, that didn’t last long. In a matter of second, the Celtics moved to –1, taking away much of the profit margin we need between the projections and the actual <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/boston-celtics-vs-indiana-pacers-3569218/odds/" target="_blank">NBA odds</a>. No worries, though - the ‘under’ has legs in this <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/boston-celtics-vs-indiana-pacers-3569218/matchup/" target="_blank">matchup</a>, especially with the Pacers playing at home. To the Fieldhouse!</p><h2><strong>Go, Go, Go Joseph</strong></h2><p>We’re not the only ones thinking about the ‘under’ by the looks of it. The total for Friday’s contest is a paltry 213 points, but we’re going to jump on that anyway. The ‘under’ is 25-14 in Indianapolis this year, and to give us a little boost, Darren Collison (plus-1.4 OBPM, plus-0.1 DBPM) has missed the last two games with a tender groin. If he’s out again on Friday, Cory Joseph (minus-2.0 OBPM, plus-1.5 DBPM) will presumably get his third start in a row. Delightful.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Aaron Holiday has now hit as many three pointers as Cory Joseph has in the last 8 games with one. &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/WfzyZa1Kzp\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/WfzyZa1Kzp&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Born Ready 2 Pod (@BornReady2Pod) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/BornReady2Pod/status/1112860786144182272?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;April 1, 2019&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>We should note that Wes Matthews (minus-0.3 OBPM, minus-0.5 DBPM), with a strained right hamstring, is also considered iffy for the Pacers after missing back-to-back games. That’s not earth-shattering news by any means, but the next man up for Indiana is Tyreke Evans (minus-3.5 OBPM, minus-0.3 DBPM), and he’s having a <em>really</em> bad season – the worst of his career. Whatever was working in Memphis last year is clearly not working in Indianapolis.</p><h2><strong>The Brown Album</strong></h2><p>Hey, it’s the Celtics again. They’re not a good ‘under’ team at all, but things aren’t so bad on the road, where the ‘over’ is just 20-19 compared to 24-16 at the Garden. Jaylen Brown (minus-1.6 OBPM, minus-0.6 DBPM) could return for Friday’s game after sitting out with a sore back, while Marcus Morris (minus-0.4 OBPM, minus-1.1 DBPM) is questionable with a sore left knee.<br /><br />With any luck, Brown will play the Pacers and Morris will sit. This will still give Semi Ojeleye (minus-2.6 OBPM, minus-1.8 DBPM) a chance to rack up some minutes off the bench, although he only played 7:18 of Monday’s 112-102 win over the Miami Heat (–1 at home), <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/miamis-loss-is-miamis-gain-versus-celtics/89540/">which was a shame</a>. At least they snuck ‘under’ the posted total of 214.5 points. Let’s see if they can make it happen again on Friday, and may the sphere be with you.</p>
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