Take Road Faves Cavaliers With Your NBA Picks To Win & Cover vs. Pacers

Nikki Adams

Monday, February 1, 2016 7:12 PM UTC

Monday, Feb. 1, 2016 7:12 PM UTC

The Cavaliers look to extend their winning form to five in a row when they take on divisional foes Indiana Pacers tonight. Here’s our analysis complete with NBA picks for this matchup.

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Free NBA Pick: Cavaliers -4.5
Best Line Offered: at 5Dimes


Cleveland Cavaliers (34-12)
LeBron James and the Cavaliers are riding high in the Eastern Conference behind a 34-12 mark, which includes an impressive 19-3 mark at home and a solid 15-9 mark on the road. They are two games ahead of in-form Toronto, who are riding a remarkable 11-game winning streak, and looking to stay abreast of the fast-advancing Raptors in the standings. As such, the premium on the win couldn’t be any greater for our NBA picks.

Odds makers opened the divisional clash between the Cavaliers and Pacers on a 4.5-point spread, a mark that doesn’t appear to have budged much since open doors in the market. From 5Dimes, to Pinnacle, Heritage, BetCRIS and others, the Cavaliers are matched as the road favorites, with only the juice varying from sportsbook to sportsbook, going from a low of -102 to a high of -105.

The Cavaliers enter Monday’s round of NBA betting riding a four-game winning streak, which includes wins over Minnesota, Phoenix, Detroit and San Antonio and is underscored by a 12.75-point winning margin on average.

On the road, they’ve won three straight games – Detroit, Brooklyn and Houston. Their last road loss was at San Antonio on January 14, when they lost 99-95 as the 6-point road underdogs.

In their last ten games, the Cavaliers are 7-3 SU and ATS, which includes a run of three straight games ahead of Monday’s clash in which they managed to both win and cover.

Cavaliers are first in the Central division and their 34-12 mark includes 5.9-point winning margin on average and a negative 0.4-point differential versus the spread. Speaking of covering the spread, the Cavaliers are just 22-23-1 versus the spread so far overall. As away favorites on the NBA odds boards, they are 7-11-1 ATS with a 5.7-point winning margin on average and a negative 0.9-point differential versus the spread.


Indiana Pacers (25-22)
The Indiana Pacers are riding a two-game winning streak into Monday’s highly anticipated clash with the Cleveland Cavaliers, a run of form that has the Pacers improving to 4-6 SU in their last ten games. Clearly, form has been a cause for concern in recent weeks and wins over Atlanta and Denver in their last two games are positive but not nearly enough to signal a turnaround. A win over Cleveland tonight though might go some way towards improving the general outlook.

Earlier in the season, the Pacers lost to the Cavaliers on the road 101-97, a hotly contested game that saw them give the hosts a run for their money as the 8-point underdogs. In their second meeting this season, the Pacers are once again at the disadvantage, but only nominally so as the 4.5-point home underdogs.

Going into Monday’s clash, the Pacers are coming off back-to-back wins over Atlanta Hawks 111-92 and the Denver Nuggets 109-105. They covered the former as the 3-point faves but failed to cover the latter as the 9-point faves. Overall, the Pacers are 24-23-0 ATS with a 2.7-point winning margin and a plus 1.5-point differential versus the spread. At home, they are 12-10 ATS and as home underdogs they are 7-7 ATS, the latter of which includes a 3.5-point losing margin and a plus 1.4-point differential versus the spread.


NBA Betting Verdict
As divisional rivalries go, this is sure to be a hotly contested game between familiar foes. There’s no doubt the Cavaliers deserve to be the road faves in this game over the hosts: the contrasting form of both sides underscores that NBA betting outlook in no uncertain terms. As such, we’re shading the road faves on our NBA picks for the day to both win and cover.

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