Take Celtics +5.5 vs. Knicks for NBA Picks

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, January 28, 2014 3:38 PM GMT

Tuesday, Jan. 28, 2014 3:38 PM GMT

Free NBA picks for Tuesday's matchup between the Boston Celtics and the New York Knicks. Find out where we have decided to place our NBA picks in this showdown.

The Celtics and Knicks are both dealing with some injuries in the dog days of January, and the NBA Odds are reflecting that, with the Knicks as -5 ½ favorites with a total of 192 points. After all of the hype surrounding the Knicks’ massive two-game winning streak, will they be able to keep it going tonight against the C’s?

[gameodds]5/253841/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

New York overvalued express

After Carmelo Anthony’s huge performance two games ago, the Knicks won again Sunday afternoon against the Lakers. Now at -5 ½ however I think they are once again falling into the patented “New York Overvalued Club.” With all of the injuries to their frontcourt, the Knicks are a couple points overvalued tonight, and I see the Celtics as the way to lean with your NBA picks, even on the road. 

Anthony’s big performance jetted the Knicks back into the national news cycle, and while I don’t have stats on this, I would not be surprised if the Knicks being in the news has coincided with them losing ATS in the past. Of course they have won their last two ATS as well, but that could just be the bait before the switch. 

Another big factor is that even though this is the third time these clubs have met this season, it’s the first where the Knicks will have to game plan for Rajon Rondo. Even though he will likely only play 20 minutes in this one, he will be on the floor in crunch time, and that could lead to a Celtics cover.

Rondo will give Raymond Felton fits tonight both on the offensive and defensive end of the floor. Even though his minutes in the middle of the game will be scarce, he will play well enough at the beginning and end of the game to keep it close. The Celtics have been very successful against the Knicks, even this season, and I think it leads to them being the play. 

The Sharp Pick

With only a few frontcourt players left for the Knicks, even the Celtics will likely put up a good effort on the boards tonight. Boston has won and covered their first two games against the Knicks this season, and considering the injuries on both sides, I think they are undervalued on the road.

Even with Rondo only playing 20 minutes, it will be enough to stay close with the Knicks. They didn’t have the luxury of Rondo for either of those first two games, and even though the C’s are struggling mightily SU recently, (2-14 SU) I think they can cover tonight against a Knicks team that is once again overvalued.

Boston is 4-1 SU in their last five games overall against the Knicks, and they are 15-7 SU in their last 22 trips up to the Garden. New York on the other hand is 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games at home against Boston. 

This season, Boston has a better road defense than the Knicks do at home, and they have gone 4-2 ATS against their division, while the Knicks have only won two of their eight division games this season. Also, Boston has gone 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.

My Pick: Celtics +5 ½
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