Take Bobcats & Heat 'Over' for NBA Picks

Jeff Grant

Monday, March 3, 2014 2:47 PM GMT

The Miami Heat have absolutely owned the Charlotte Bobcats in their recent meeting, and that is likely to be the case again tonight. Find out why we are looking to the total with our NBA picks tonight.

Let’s take a close look at the NBA betting odds for this Eastern Conference matchup at the AmericanAirlines Arena, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:30 p.m. ET.

[gameodds]5/257103/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

Road trippin’ 

Charlotte will try to salvage its three-game road trip, as it looks to bounce back from a 116-99 defeat to the Oklahoma City Thunder as 10.5-point road underdogs Sunday, while going OVER the betting total of 204. 

The Bobcats are 17-17 SU versus conference opponents this season, including an 8-8 mark when playing on the road. 

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 11-51 SU and 19-41-2 ATS when playing on back-to-back days.

A nice run 

Miami has won seven games in a row, including a 112-98 blowout victory over the Orlando Magic as 14-point home favorites last Saturday, while going OVER the betting total for the first time in four contests. 

The Heat are a dominating 170-54 SU at home during the Erik Spoelstra era, but they’ve gone 12-16 ATS as favorites of 9.5 to 12 points at this venue since the start of the 2011-12 campaign. 

Series history

NBA handicappers will definitely have an interest in fading the Bobcats in this spot when looking over the SBR Odds page, considering they’ve dropped 15 consecutive games in this series. 

Charlotte dropped a 99-98 decision to Miami as 11.5-point underdogs in its first trip to South Beach this season on Dec. 1. 

Getting after it defensively

In their last four games, the Heat have held opponents to an average of 85.0 points on 38.6 percent shooting—forcing opponents into 16.3 turnovers over that span and creating 20.0 points per game of the miscues. 

It’s also important to point out that the UNDER is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in this series.

Read our NBA Picks of the Day article for more free plays.

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks, with the OVER going 14-6-1 in the Bobcats’ last 21 road games, while the Heat may lack interest on the defensive end with an important road trip on deck. 

NBA Pick:  Over 196.5