Swinger’s By the Numbers NBA Picks for Monday, February 27

heat mavericks

Swinging Johnson

Monday, February 27, 2017 3:45 PM GMT

Monday, Feb. 27, 2017 3:45 PM GMT

By The Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game-time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Monday's slate and cash in our NBA picks.

Pacers (30-29 SU, 26-32-1 ATS) At Rockets (42-18 SU, 34-26 ATS)
  • Houston is 18-7 ATS in their last 25 games following a ATS loss.
  • Houston is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
  • Houston is 14-4 ATS versus poor defensive teams - allowing 106+ points per game
  • Indiana is 1-5 ATS in their last six Monday games.
  • Indiana is 1-4 ATS in their last five road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.
  • Indiana is 0-4 ATS in their last four when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Indiana is 2-5 ATS in their last seven road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The Rockets have won six of their last seven straight up and covered the NBA odds in four of those games -- which includes a narrow miss in their last contest in which they defeated the Timberwolves 142-130 as 12½-point favorites. On the other hand, the Pacers have dropped seven of their last eight straight up and own a 3-5 ATS mark during that stretch. Two teams going in two different directions with the Rockets covering in the teams' last two meetings in Houston.

NBA Free Pick: Rockets -10Best Line Offered: Betmania

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Heat (27-32 SU, 35-24 ATS) At Mavericks (23-35 SU, 31-27 ATS)
  • Dallas is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 home games.
  • Dallas is 5-1 ATS in their last six games as a home underdog.
  • Dallas is 10-4 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Dallas is  4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Dallas is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Dallas is Mavericks are 20-8 ATS in their last 28 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Miami is 2-5 ATS versus poor offensive teams - scoring

There is no doubt that Miami has been hitting its stride recently but during this hot streak the Heat have dropped two games to a pair of the worst teams in the league featuring the 76ers and Magic to whom they lost 117-109 and 116-107, respectively. The Mavs fall into this woeful category but have recently played like a team possessed when in the familiar confines of the American Airlines Center. Let's trust the numbers in our NBA picks and grab the home dog here.

NBA Free Pick: Mavs +1.5Best Line Offered: SkyBook

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