Swinger’s by the Numbers: Two 'Under' Picks Monday

spurs cavaliers

Swinging Johnson

Monday, March 27, 2017 2:54 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game-time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Monday.

 

Magic (33-40 O/U) At Raptors (37-35 O/U)
  • Toronto - Under is 13-6 in Raptors last 19 overall.
  • Toronto - Under is 5-1 in Raptors last six vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Toronto - Under is 5-2 in Raptors last seven games vs. a team with a winning percentage below .400.
  • Toronto - Under is 8-3 in Raptors last 11 games.
  • Orlando - Under is 5-2 in Magic’s last seven games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Orlando - Under is 8-3 in Magic’s last 11 games as an underdog.
  • Orlando - Under is 6-2 in Magic last eight vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Orlando - Under is 3-1 in Magic’s last four road games.

The Magic played surprisingly well in their last game when they throttled the Pistons 115-87 at home -- yet the total still fell short of the 208½ that the NBA odds makers posted. Toronto has seen its last two contests go low and has been playing some of its best defense of the season recently. If you toss the overtime game out against the Bulls, the Raptors have held their opponents to a paltry 84 PPG over their last four contests. The 'under' has delivered winners in three of the last four meetings between these clubs. and that trend won’t change tonight.

Free NBA Pick: Under 206½Best Line Offered: Betmania

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3067847, "sportsbooksIds":[1252,19,169,1275,93], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]

 Cavaliers (41-31 O/U) At Spurs (37-33 O/U)
  • San Antonio – Under is 11-5-2 in Spurs last 18 games playing on one day’s rest.
  • San Antonio – Under is 6-1 in Spurs last seven games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • San Antonio – Under is 20-6-1 in Spurs last 27 Monday games.
  • San Antonio – Under is 13-4-2 in Spurs last 19 games following a straight up win.
  • Cleveland – Under is 7-3 in Cavaliers last 10 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
  • Cleveland – Under is 6-2 in Cavaliers last eight Monday games.
  • Cleveland – Under is 18-7-3 in Cavaliers last 28 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.
  • Cleveland – Under is 35-15-2 in Cavaliers last 52 games as an underdog.

The last time these clubs met in San Antonio, those who included 'under' 195 in their NBA picks came out on the right side of a nail-biter that saw the Spurs victorious courtesy of a 99-95 score. As you can see by the trends above, Monday has been an historically lethargic offensive day of the week for both teams with the Spurs games’ going 'under' in 20 of 26 occasions while Cleveland has seen its games go low on six of eight of their last Monday night games. The total is simply too high here so we will take advantage and watch this game go 'under' the posted total in San Antonio tonight!

Free NBA Pick: Under 211½Best Line Offered: BetDSI

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3067854, "sportsbooksIds":[123,1096,19,274,1680], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1 }[/]