Swinger’s by the Numbers Picks: Grizzlies Roar & Mavs Cover

clippers mavericks

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, April 5, 2017 4:17 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger’s top selections according to historical trends and game-time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Wednesday.

 

Thunder (44-33 SU, 42-34-1 ATS) At Grizzlies (42-36 SU, 40-38-2 ATS)
  • Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last five Wednesday games.
  • Memphis is 4-0 ATS in their last four games as a favorite of 0.5-4.5.
  • Memphis is 4-0 ATS in their last four home games.
  • Memphis is 4-1 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
  • Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog.
  • Oklahoma City is 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a road underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Oklahoma City is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
  • Oklahoma City is 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

Memphis’s Mike Conley left Tuesday's game after sustaining a cut above the eye in the Grizzlies’ 95-89 road loss to the Spurs. However, all reports are that the talented point guard will be back in uniform for tonight’s clash with the Thunder. The NBA odds makers have installed Memphis as a small favorite, but if this outcome mirrors the recent past, with the Grizzlies covering the number in four of the last five meetings vs. OKC in games played at FedExForum, then we should have yet another winner in our NBA picks.

Free NBA Pick: Grizzlies -1½  Best Line Offered: Skybook

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Mavericks (32-45 SU, 42-35 ATS) At LA Clippers (47-31 SU, 37-41 ATS)
  • Los Angeles is 4-10 ATS in their last 14 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Los Angeles is 0-6 ATS in their last six home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.
  • Los Angeles is 0-4 ATS in their last four games following a straight up win.
  • Los Angeles is 1-11 ATS in their last 12 games vs. a team with a losing straight up record.
  • Dallas is 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games following a straight up loss.
  • Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last seven Wednesday games.
  • Dallas is 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a ATS loss.
  • Dallas is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

The critics of this play will point out that the Clippers have had three days of rest while the Mavs are playing the second of a back-to-back. However, Dallas has done well in this spot for its backers, going 5-2 ATS on the second night of consecutive games over the past seven. In addition, the Mavs have defeated the Clips in their last two meetings, both as underdogs. LA is getting too much love from the oddsmakers here, and we will happily take the double-digit headstart.

Free NBA Pick: Mavericks +12   Best Line Offered: Betmania

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