Swinger’s By The Numbers Picks For Thursday: Backing 2 Dogs

76ers-magic

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, February 9, 2017 3:44 PM GMT

By The Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring Swinger's top selections according to historical trends and game-time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Thursday evening and cash in our NBA picks.

76ers (18-34 SU, 30-21 ATS) At Magic (20-34 SU, 23-30-1 ATS)
  • Orlando is 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games as a favorite.
  • Orlando is 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage   of less than .400.
  • Orlando is 1-3-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
  • Orlando is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Philadelphia is 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games following a straight up loss.
  • Philadelphia is 11-4 ATS in their last 15 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Philadelphia is 15-6 ATS in their last 21 games as an underdog.
  • Philadelphia is 12-3 ATS in their last 15 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.

I'm not sure why the Magic are 5½-point favorites over the 76ers as both teams are evenly matched and Philadelphia is actually 3-1 ATS over the last four games played in Orlando. I am certain there will be squares fading the Sixers because they just played last night and fell 111-103 to the San Antonio Spurs but rewarded all those who backed Philly in their NBA picks with a cover as 12-point home dogs. However, this is a team that does not get gassed in the second leg of back-to-back games as evidenced by a 6-2 ATS mark over its last eight when playing on zero day's rest. Let's grab the generous head start that the NBA odds makers giving us in this one.

NBA Free Pick: 76ers +5.5Best Line Offered: Betmania

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 Jazz (34-19 SU, 23-28-2 ATS) At Mavericks (20-32 SU, 28-24 ATS)
  • Dallas is 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss.
  • Dallas is 6-1 ATS in their last seven after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
  • Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a home underdog of 0.5-4.5.
  • Dallas is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games.
  • Utah is 3-9 ATS in their last 12 Thursday games.
  • Utah is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games following a ATS win.
  • Utah is 0-4 ATS in their last 4 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
  • Utah is 8-17 ATS in their last 25 games overall.
  • Utah is 1-5-1 ATS in their last seven games playing on zero day's rest.

At first blush the Jazz look like a value play here with a straight-up record that is far better than the Mavs and coming off a pair of dominating road victories over Atlanta and Charlotte. However, the Jazz's recent stretch of ATS money-burners is a concern, covering in only eight of their last 25 contests. In addition, the Mavericks have covered in three of their last four meetings against the Jazz in games played in Dallas and are 8-2 ATS in revenge home games, which applies here as the Jazz defeated the Mavs 112-107 three weeks ago at the American Airlines Center but failed to cover the 5½-point impost.

NBA Free Pick: Mavericks +4Best Line Offered: BookMaker

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