Swinger’s By the Numbers Picks for Saturday

Dallas Mavs

Saturday, February 11, 2017 4:54 PM GMT

By the Numbers is a daily NBA column featuring three top selections according to historical trends and game time matchups. Let’s review the top picks for Saturday evening and cash in our NBA picks.

Bucks (22-30 SU, 20-32 ATS) vs. Pacers (29-24 SU, 24-28-1 ATS)

* Indiana is 4-0-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

* Indiana is 4-1 ATS in their last five Saturday games.

* Indiana is 6-2-1 ATS in their last nine games overall.

* Indiana is 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

* Milwaukee is 1-5 ATS in their last six games following a straight up loss.

* Milwaukee is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

* Milwaukee is 8-21 ATS in their last 29 road games.

* Milwaukee is 3-10 ATS in their last 13 games playing on zero day's rest.

Both teams lost last night but the Pacers covered as six-point road dogs to Washington while the Bucks lost outright as 5 ½ point home chalk to the lackluster LA Lakers. That's pretty much all you need to know about the makeup of these clubs. Yes, the seven-point impost that the NBA odds makers are dealing seems a bit steep but don't forget that Milwaukee lost one of their most potent offensive weapons in Jabari Parker just two nights ago to a torn ACL.

Free NBA Pick: Pacers -7Best Line Offered: at Skybook

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Nuggets (24-29 SU, 27-24-2 ATS) vs. Cavaliers (36-16 SU, 23-27-2 ATS)

* Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in their last five after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

* Cleveland is 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a home favorite of 11.0 or greater.

* Cleveland is 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.

* Cleveland is 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on one day's rest.

* Denver is 1-5 ATS in their last six road games vs. a team with a home winning percentage of greater than .600.

* Denver is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.

* Denver is 2-7 ATS in their last nine games playing on zero day's rest.

* Denver is 1-4 ATS in their last five after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

The Cleveland Cavaliers are one of the last teams you want to face on the second leg of back-to-back games. But that's what the scheduling gods have in store for the Nuggets who won a shootout in New York last night over the Knicks and now must do it all over again in Cleveland. These clubs have not faced each other this season but in Denver's last visit to King James' court they were blown out 124-91 and it looks like a repeat is in store.

Free NBA Pick: Cavaliers -12Best Line Offered: at BetPhoenix

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Magic (20-35 SU, 23-31-1 ATS) vs. Mavericks (21-32 SU, 29-24 ATS)

* Dallas is 7-1 ATS in their last eight after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.

* Dallas is 5-0 ATS in their last five home games vs. a team with a road winning percentage of less than .400.

* Dallas is 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games.

* Dallas is 4-0 ATS in their last four games playing on one day's rest.

* Orlando is 2-5 ATS in their last seven games following a straight up loss.

* Orlando is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 Saturday games.

* Orlando is 1-4 ATS in their last five games as a road underdog of 5.0-10.5.

* Orlando is 1-6 ATS in their last seven after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.

When last these teams met at the American Airlines Center the Mavericks cruised to a 121-108 victory and now they meet again, only this time the Magic will most likely be without the services of Aaron Gordon and his 11.2 PPG average. If you have been backing the Mavs in your NBA picks then you have my congratulations as Dallas has covered the number in 12 of their last 15 and are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games dating all the way back to January 15th.

Free NBA Pick: Mavericks -6Best Line Offered: at BetMania

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